As of October 24, 2026, 07:49 PM ET, Polymarket traders price $100M at 33.0% in Theo FDV above ___ one day after launch? — $172.9K traded so far.
The leading outcome, $100M, is priced at 33.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +8.5 pts; past week: -0.5 pts; past month: -1.0 pts.
Since November 27, 2025, $100M has traded between 15.5% and 95.0%. It opened at 77.0% and last traded at 24.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | 46.5% |
| Oct 15, 2026 | 38.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 35.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 34.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 21.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 29.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 24.5% |
$100M is favored at 33.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $100M | 33¢ | 33.0% | +8.5 pts | $100.9K | 58.4% |
| $300M | 20¢ | 20.0% | +3.0 pts | $34.1K | 19.7% |
| $700M | 1¢ | 1.0% | — | $23.7K | 13.7% |
| $1B | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $14.1K | 8.2% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 32¢ / ask 34¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$172.9K has been traded on this event in total, $321 of it in the last 24 hours, across 4 markets.
This market is scheduled to end January 01, 2027, 12:00 AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Theo's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Theo (https://x.com/Theo_Network) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Resolution source: https://x.com/Theo_Network
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 10,377 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Willing-Purchase | Yes | 10,377 | $3.4K |
| Overcooked-Scrutiny | Yes | 6,442 | $2.1K |
| Fruitful-Ectoderm | No | 4,852 | $3.3K |
| Pricey-Tofu | No | 3,086 | $2.1K |
| Elementary-Gold | No | 2,750 | $1.8K |
| All-Milestone | No | 2,103 | $1.4K |
| Used-Motherinlaw | No | 2,085 | $1.4K |
| Adolescent-Guilty | No | 1,999 | $1.3K |
| Superb-Crop | Yes | 1,744 | $576 |
| Rowdy-Innocent | No | 1,689 | $1.1K |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 03:45 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 26.0% | $45 |
| Oct 24, 03:45 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 32.0% | $10 |
| Oct 24, 03:21 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 15.0% | $17 |
| Oct 23, 03:27 AM ET | No | BUY | 79.0% | $24 |
| Oct 22, 11:03 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 18.0% | $9 |
| Oct 22, 08:27 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 26.0% | $12 |
| Oct 22, 08:17 AM ET | No | BUY | 74.0% | $22 |
| Oct 22, 06:00 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 29.0% | $9 |
| Oct 22, 04:14 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 12.0% | $4 |
| Oct 22, 12:02 AM ET | No | BUY | 69.0% | $21 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is $100M at 33.0%. Next is $300M at 20.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/theo-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch?via=bro
$172.9K in total volume, with $321 traded in the last 24 hours across 4 markets.
The market is scheduled to end January 01, 2027, 12:00 AM ET. It resolves based on https://x.com/Theo_Network.
$100M, priced at 33.0% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
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