As of October 24, 2026, 07:56 PM ET, Polymarket traders price December 31, 2026 at 0.8% in Tim Walz in jail by...? — $59.5K traded so far.
The leading outcome, December 31, 2026, is priced at 0.8%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.5 pts; past week: +0.5 pts; past month: -1.2 pts.
Since January 02, 2026, December 31, 2026 has traded between 0.2% and 8.5%. It opened at 7.5% and last traded at 0.3%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 0.3% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 0.3% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 0.3% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 0.2% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 0.2% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 0.2% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 0.3% |
December 31, 2026 is favored at 0.8%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2026 | 1¢ | 0.8% | +0.5 pts | $24.6K | 41.4% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 0¢ / ask 2¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$59.5K has been traded on this event in total, $50 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tim Walz serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and December 31, 2026 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,698 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ample-Instance | No | 1,698 | $1.7K |
| Known-Use | Yes | 1,655 | $13 |
| Compassionate-Kneejerk | No | 1,450 | $1.4K |
| 0x6b0ebbef… | Yes | 1,388 | $11 |
| Monstrous-Festival | No | 1,310 | $1.3K |
| Straight-Hunting | Yes | 595 | $5 |
| Arctic-Kickoff | No | 346 | $343 |
| Punctual-Hydrogen | Yes | 292 | $2 |
| Glaring-Accord | Yes | 250 | $2 |
| Ironclad-Sleeping-Insurance | Yes | 200 | $2 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 09:30 AM ET | No | SELL | 99.6% | $50 |
| Oct 19, 02:11 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 0.2% | $0 |
| Oct 09, 02:33 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 1.7% | $0 |
| Oct 09, 02:32 PM ET | No | BUY | 99.7% | $25 |
| Oct 09, 02:32 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 0.4% | $14 |
| Oct 08, 06:55 AM ET | No | SELL | 97.2% | $5 |
| Sep 28, 10:47 AM ET | No | SELL | 96.9% | $8 |
| Sep 28, 10:47 AM ET | No | SELL | 96.9% | $39 |
| Sep 28, 10:47 AM ET | No | SELL | 97.1% | $39 |
| Sep 28, 10:46 AM ET | No | SELL | 97.1% | $19 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is December 31, 2026 at 0.8%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/tim-walz-in-jail-by-march-31?via=bro
$59.5K in total volume, with $50 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
December 31, 2026, priced at 0.8% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
Prices move fast. Check the live book, read the resolution rules, and size small while you learn.
Sign Up on PolymarketNew here? Start with the complete beginner guide, then run any stake through the payout calculator before you trade.