As of October 24, 2026, 09:29 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Aleksei Sarana at 50.5% in Titled Tuesday Top 5: October 27 — $20 traded so far.
The leading outcome, Aleksei Sarana, is priced at 50.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -0.5 pts.
Since October 20, 2026, Aleksei Sarana has traded between 49.5% and 51.0%. It opened at 49.5% and last traded at 50.5%.
Aleksei Sarana is favored at 50.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aleksei Sarana | 50¢ | 50.5% | -0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Dincer Tasdogen | 50¢ | 50.0% | +1.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Nihal Sarin | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Oleksandr Bortnyk | 50¢ | 50.0% | +1.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Renato Terry Lujan | 50¢ | 50.0% | +1.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Volen Dyulgerov | 50¢ | 50.0% | -0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Yoseph Theolifus Taher | 50¢ | 50.0% | +1.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Gukesh Dommaraju | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ding Liren | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Wei Yi | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Vladimir Fedoseev | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Brandon Jacobson | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Christopher Yoo | 50¢ | 50.0% | +1.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Tuomas Turunen | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Andrew Tang | 50¢ | 49.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Pranav Venkatesh | 49¢ | 49.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Javokhir Sindarov | 48¢ | 48.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Levon Aronian | 48¢ | 47.5% | -1.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Magnus Carlsen | 46¢ | 46.0% | -2.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Sina Movahed | 22¢ | 21.5% | -3.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Alireza Firouzja | 18¢ | 18.5% | -1.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Denis Lazavik | 17¢ | 17.0% | -3.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Dmitry Andreikin | 16¢ | 16.0% | -3.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Vladislav Artemiev | 15¢ | 15.0% | -3.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Vincent Keymer | 14¢ | 14.5% | -4.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Arjun Erigaisi | 14¢ | 13.5% | -4.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ian Nepomniachtchi | 14¢ | 13.5% | -1.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Wesley So | 13¢ | 13.0% | -4.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Jan-Krzysztof Duda | 12¢ | 12.5% | -1.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Le Tuan Minh | 12¢ | 12.5% | +0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Alexander Grischuk | 12¢ | 11.5% | +1.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Jeffery Xiong | 12¢ | 11.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Parham Maghsoodloo | 11¢ | 11.0% | -1.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Zhamsaran Tsydypov | 10¢ | 10.5% | +0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Hans Niemann | 10¢ | 9.5% | -2.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Maxime Vachier-Lagrave | 10¢ | 9.5% | -4.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Awonder Liang | 10¢ | 9.5% | +0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Haik Martirosyan | 9¢ | 9.0% | -0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Rudik Makarian | 8¢ | 8.5% | +1.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Nikolas Theodorou | 8¢ | 8.0% | +1.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Aravindh Chithambaram | 8¢ | 7.5% | +1.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Frederik Svane | 8¢ | 7.5% | +1.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Jose Martinez | 8¢ | 7.5% | +1.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Matthias Bluebaum | 8¢ | 7.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Pranesh Munirethinam | 8¢ | 7.5% | +0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Rasmus Svane | 8¢ | 7.5% | +1.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Andrey Esipenko | 7¢ | 7.0% | +0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Bardiya Daneshvar | 7¢ | 7.0% | +1.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Bogdan-Daniel Deac | 7¢ | 7.0% | +0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Cristobal Henriquez Villagra | 7¢ | 7.0% | +1.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Faustino Oro | 7¢ | 7.0% | +1.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Jules Moussard | 7¢ | 7.0% | +0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Nodirbek Abdusattorov | 7¢ | 7.0% | +1.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Sergey Sklokin | 7¢ | 7.0% | +1.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Seyyed Mohammad Amin Tabatabaei | 7¢ | 7.0% | +0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Aleksandar Indjic | 6¢ | 6.5% | +1.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Aleksandr Shimanov | 6¢ | 6.5% | +0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Bok | 6¢ | 6.5% | +0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| David Anton | 6¢ | 6.5% | +0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Haowen Xue | 6¢ | 6.5% | +0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Sam Sevian | 6¢ | 6.5% | +0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Shamsiddin Vokhidov | 6¢ | 6.5% | +0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu | 6¢ | 6.0% | +0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Dau Khuong Duy | 6¢ | 5.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Hikaru Nakamura | 5¢ | 5.0% | -1.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Fabiano Caruana | 5¢ | 5.0% | — | $20 | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 97¢ (bid 2¢ / ask 99¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$20 has been traded on this event in total, $20 of it in the last 24 hours, across 66 markets.
This market is scheduled to end November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 5 of Titled Tuesday on October 27, 2026, according to the final standings published by the tournament organizer. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the listed player does not play, their corresponding market will resolve to "No". If this tournament is postponed after November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or final standings have not been published within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Chess.com (https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 07:22 AM ET | No | BUY | 98.0% | $20 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:25 PM ET, the leading outcome is Aleksei Sarana at 50.5%. Next is Dincer Tasdogen at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/titled-tuesday-2026-10-27-top5?via=bro
$20 in total volume, with $20 traded in the last 24 hours across 66 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz.
Aleksei Sarana, priced at 50.5% as of October 24, 2026, 09:25 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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