As of October 24, 2026, 09:29 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Alireza Firouzja at 51.0% in Titled Tuesday Top 8: October 27 — $20 traded so far.
The leading outcome, Alireza Firouzja, is priced at 51.0%.
Since October 20, 2026, Alireza Firouzja has traded between 49.5% and 51.0%. It opened at 49.5% and last traded at 51.0%.
Alireza Firouzja is favored at 51.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alireza Firouzja | 51¢ | 51.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Aleksei Sarana | 50¢ | 50.5% | -0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Vincent Keymer | 50¢ | 50.5% | -0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Andrew Tang | 50¢ | 50.5% | +0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Andrey Esipenko | 50¢ | 50.0% | +1.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Alexander Grischuk | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Aleksandar Indjic | 50¢ | 50.0% | +1.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Bardiya Daneshvar | 50¢ | 50.0% | +1.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| David Anton | 50¢ | 50.0% | +1.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Dincer Tasdogen | 50¢ | 50.0% | +1.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Faustino Oro | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Frederik Svane | 50¢ | 50.0% | +1.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Jules Moussard | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Javokhir Sindarov | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Levon Aronian | 50¢ | 50.0% | +1.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Nihal Sarin | 50¢ | 50.0% | -0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Oleksandr Bortnyk | 50¢ | 50.0% | -0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Pranesh Munirethinam | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu | 50¢ | 50.0% | +1.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Renato Terry Lujan | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Sam Sevian | 50¢ | 50.0% | +1.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Sergey Sklokin | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Shamsiddin Vokhidov | 50¢ | 50.0% | +1.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Vladislav Artemiev | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Volen Dyulgerov | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Gukesh Dommaraju | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ding Liren | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Vladimir Fedoseev | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Brandon Jacobson | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Rudik Makarian | 50¢ | 49.5% | -0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Tuomas Turunen | 50¢ | 49.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Nikolas Theodorou | 49¢ | 49.0% | -1.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Pranav Venkatesh | 49¢ | 49.0% | +21.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Awonder Liang | 49¢ | 49.0% | -1.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Yoseph Theolifus Taher | 48¢ | 48.5% | -1.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Christopher Yoo | 48¢ | 48.5% | -1.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Magnus Carlsen | 48¢ | 48.0% | -0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Bogdan-Daniel Deac | 48¢ | 48.0% | +2.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Bok | 48¢ | 47.5% | -1.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Aleksandr Shimanov | 47¢ | 47.0% | -2.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Wei Yi | 45¢ | 45.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ian Nepomniachtchi | 44¢ | 43.5% | -7.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Sina Movahed | 27¢ | 27.0% | -4.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Dmitry Andreikin | 27¢ | 27.0% | -4.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Denis Lazavik | 22¢ | 22.5% | -4.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Maxime Vachier-Lagrave | 20¢ | 20.0% | -6.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Arjun Erigaisi | 20¢ | 19.5% | -4.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Wesley So | 19¢ | 19.0% | -4.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Hans Niemann | 16¢ | 16.0% | -3.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Parham Maghsoodloo | 16¢ | 16.0% | -1.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Jan-Krzysztof Duda | 16¢ | 15.5% | -2.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Jeffery Xiong | 16¢ | 15.5% | -1.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Le Tuan Minh | 15¢ | 15.0% | -0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Haik Martirosyan | 13¢ | 13.0% | -1.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Zhamsaran Tsydypov | 12¢ | 11.5% | -1.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Matthias Bluebaum | 11¢ | 11.0% | +0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Aravindh Chithambaram | 10¢ | 10.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Rasmus Svane | 9¢ | 9.0% | +0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Jose Martinez | 8¢ | 8.5% | +0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Haowen Xue | 8¢ | 7.5% | +0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Seyyed Mohammad Amin Tabatabaei | 8¢ | 7.5% | +0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Dau Khuong Duy | 7¢ | 7.0% | +1.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Cristobal Henriquez Villagra | 6¢ | 6.5% | +0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Nodirbek Abdusattorov | 6¢ | 6.5% | +0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Fabiano Caruana | 6¢ | 5.5% | -0.5 pts | $20 | 100.0% |
| Hikaru Nakamura | 4¢ | 4.5% | -1.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 96¢ (bid 3¢ / ask 99¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$20 has been traded on this event in total, $20 of it in the last 24 hours, across 66 markets.
This market is scheduled to end November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 8 of Titled Tuesday on October 27, 2026, according to the final standings published by the tournament organizer. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the listed player does not play, their corresponding market will resolve to "No". If this tournament is postponed after November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or final standings have not been published within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Chess.com (https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 07:23 AM ET | No | BUY | 98.0% | $20 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:25 PM ET, the leading outcome is Alireza Firouzja at 51.0%. Next is Aleksei Sarana at 50.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/titled-tuesday-2026-10-27-top8?via=bro
$20 in total volume, with $20 traded in the last 24 hours across 66 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz.
Alireza Firouzja, priced at 51.0% as of October 24, 2026, 09:25 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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