As of October 24, 2026, 09:20 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Alireza Firouzja at 19.0% in Titled Tuesday Winner: October 27 — $269 traded so far.
The leading outcome, Alireza Firouzja, is priced at 19.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -3.5 pts.
Since October 20, 2026, Alireza Firouzja has traded between 7.0% and 27.5%. It opened at 27.5% and last traded at 23.5%.
Alireza Firouzja is favored at 19.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alireza Firouzja | 19¢ | 19.0% | -3.5 pts | $110 | 40.8% |
| Sina Movahed | 6¢ | 6.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Jan-Krzysztof Duda | 6¢ | 6.5% | -1.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Nihal Sarin | 6¢ | 6.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Maxime Vachier-Lagrave | 6¢ | 6.0% | -1.0 pts | $31 | 11.5% |
| Magnus Carlsen | 6¢ | 5.5% | +0.5 pts | $15 | 5.6% |
| Aleksei Sarana | 6¢ | 5.5% | -0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Arjun Erigaisi | 5¢ | 5.0% | -0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Hans Niemann | 5¢ | 5.0% | -0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Jose Martinez | 5¢ | 5.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Javokhir Sindarov | 5¢ | 5.0% | +0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Wesley So | 5¢ | 5.0% | -1.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Denis Lazavik | 4¢ | 4.5% | -0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Jules Moussard | 4¢ | 4.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Fabiano Caruana | 4¢ | 4.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Haik Martirosyan | 4¢ | 4.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Le Tuan Minh | 4¢ | 4.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Nodirbek Abdusattorov | 4¢ | 4.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Parham Maghsoodloo | 4¢ | 4.0% | -1.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu | 4¢ | 4.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Dmitry Andreikin | 4¢ | 3.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ian Nepomniachtchi | 4¢ | 3.5% | -0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Vincent Keymer | 4¢ | 3.5% | -0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Zhamsaran Tsydypov | 4¢ | 3.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Vladislav Artemiev | 3¢ | 3.0% | +0.1 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Aravindh Chithambaram | 3¢ | 3.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Dau Khuong Duy | 3¢ | 3.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Haowen Xue | 3¢ | 3.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Jeffery Xiong | 3¢ | 3.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Levon Aronian | 3¢ | 3.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Nikolas Theodorou | 3¢ | 3.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Pranav Venkatesh | 3¢ | 3.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Sam Sevian | 3¢ | 3.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Christopher Yoo | 3¢ | 3.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Awonder Liang | 3¢ | 3.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Hikaru Nakamura | 3¢ | 2.9% | -0.6 pts | $15 | 5.6% |
| Alexander Grischuk | 3¢ | 2.6% | +0.1 pts | $51 | 19.0% |
| Andrey Esipenko | 2¢ | 2.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Aleksandar Indjic | 2¢ | 2.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Aleksandr Shimanov | 2¢ | 2.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Bok | 2¢ | 2.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Bardiya Daneshvar | 2¢ | 2.5% | -0.1 pts | $47 | 17.4% |
| Bogdan-Daniel Deac | 2¢ | 2.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Cristobal Henriquez Villagra | 2¢ | 2.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| David Anton | 2¢ | 2.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Dincer Tasdogen | 2¢ | 2.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Faustino Oro | 2¢ | 2.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Frederik Svane | 2¢ | 2.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Matthias Bluebaum | 2¢ | 2.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Oleksandr Bortnyk | 2¢ | 2.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Pranesh Munirethinam | 2¢ | 2.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Renato Terry Lujan | 2¢ | 2.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Rudik Makarian | 2¢ | 2.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Rasmus Svane | 2¢ | 2.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Sergey Sklokin | 2¢ | 2.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Seyyed Mohammad Amin Tabatabaei | 2¢ | 2.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Shamsiddin Vokhidov | 2¢ | 2.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Volen Dyulgerov | 2¢ | 2.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Yoseph Theolifus Taher | 2¢ | 2.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Wei Yi | 2¢ | 2.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Vladimir Fedoseev | 2¢ | 2.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Brandon Jacobson | 2¢ | 2.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Andrew Tang | 2¢ | 2.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Gukesh Dommaraju | 0¢ | 0.5% | -2.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ding Liren | 0¢ | 0.5% | -2.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Tuomas Turunen | 0¢ | 0.5% | -49.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 28¢ (bid 5¢ / ask 33¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$269 has been traded on this event in total, $92 of it in the last 24 hours, across 75 markets.
This market is scheduled to end November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the winner of Titled Tuesday on October 27, 2026 11:59 PM ET. If the listed player does not play their corresponding market will resolve to "No". If this tournament is postponed after November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Chess.com (https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 110 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thunderous-Clutch | Yes | 110 | $21 |
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 110 | $89 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 07:53 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 22.0% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 12:57 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 5.0% | $3 |
| Oct 23, 02:53 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 14.0% | $2 |
| Oct 23, 08:44 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 14.0% | $12 |
| Oct 22, 08:48 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 5.0% | $2 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET, the leading outcome is Alireza Firouzja at 19.0%. Next is Sina Movahed at 6.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/titled-tuesday-2026-10-27-winner?via=bro
$269 in total volume, with $92 traded in the last 24 hours across 75 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz.
Alireza Firouzja, priced at 19.0% as of October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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