As of October 24, 2026, 07:53 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Ana Lilia Rivera Rivera at 76.1% in Tlaxcala Governor Election Winner — $88.2K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Ana Lilia Rivera Rivera, is priced at 76.1%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +9.6 pts; past week: +14.0 pts; past month: +41.9 pts.
Since August 05, 2026, Ana Lilia Rivera Rivera has traded between 5.0% and 83.4%. It opened at 33.0% and last traded at 66.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 62.8% |
| Oct 17, 2026 | 62.2% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 67.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 69.1% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 67.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 73.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 66.5% |
Ana Lilia Rivera Rivera is favored at 76.1%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ana Lilia Rivera Rivera | 76¢ | 76.1% | +9.6 pts | $18.5K | 21.0% |
| Candidate C | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate D | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate E | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate F | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate G | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate H | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate I | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate J | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate K | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate L | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate M | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate N | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate O | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate P | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Q | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate R | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate S | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate T | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate U | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate V | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate W | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate X | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Y | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Z | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Alfonso Sánchez García | 7¢ | 7.4% | +0.1 pts | $31.8K | 36.0% |
| Anabell Ávalos Zempoalteca | 2¢ | 2.0% | -0.6 pts | $3.9K | 4.4% |
| Floria María Hernández Hernández | 1¢ | 0.7% | — | $3.0K | 3.4% |
| Irma Yordana Garay Loredo | 1¢ | 0.5% | — | $3.6K | 4.1% |
| Miriam Martínez Sánchez | 1¢ | 0.5% | — | $2.5K | 2.8% |
| Josefina Rodríguez Zamora | 1¢ | 0.5% | — | $2.5K | 2.8% |
| Adriana Dávila Fernández | 0¢ | 0.5% | +0.2 pts | $3.7K | 4.2% |
| Danae Figueroa | 0¢ | 0.4% | — | $7.0K | 7.9% |
| Concepción Sánchez González | 0¢ | 0.2% | — | $4.6K | 5.2% |
| Carlos Augusto Pérez Hernández | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $2.9K | 3.3% |
| Raymundo Vázquez Conchas | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $603 | 0.7% |
| Juan Salvador Santos Cedillo | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $1.4K | 1.6% |
| Vicente Emilio Ponce Cano | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $1.7K | 1.9% |
| Héctor Bernardo Paredes Mora | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $649 | 0.7% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 16¢ (bid 68¢ / ask 84¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$88.2K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 40 markets.
This market is scheduled to end June 06, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Tlaxcala on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Tlaxcala gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Tlaxcala and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Tlaxcala and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 2,997 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 2,997 | $716 |
| Awesome-Availability | Yes | 2,485 | $1.9K |
| Treasured-Liner-Cheddar | Yes | 1,219 | $928 |
| Wan-Gymnastics | Yes | 1,041 | $792 |
| Cultivated-Diesel | No | 740 | $177 |
| Gifted-Luck-Sort | No | 341 | $82 |
| Shallow-Lyocell-Leaf | Yes | 260 | $198 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 238 | $57 |
| Gifted-Rancher | No | 150 | $36 |
| Known-Use | No | 121 | $29 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 08:57 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 0.3% | $0 |
| Oct 22, 08:55 AM ET | No | SELL | 31.0% | $16 |
| Oct 22, 02:18 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 0.3% | $0 |
| Oct 22, 01:25 AM ET | No | BUY | 32.0% | $11 |
| Oct 22, 12:49 AM ET | No | BUY | 31.9% | $6 |
| Oct 21, 03:56 AM ET | No | SELL | 34.0% | $46 |
| Oct 19, 12:20 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 0.3% | $0 |
| Oct 18, 09:26 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 65.6% | $7 |
| Oct 18, 08:15 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 62.2% | $2 |
| Oct 18, 05:23 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 63.9% | $140 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Ana Lilia Rivera Rivera at 76.1%. Next is Candidate C at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/tlaxcala-governor-election-winner-20260803170329?via=bro
$88.2K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 40 markets.
The market is scheduled to end June 06, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
Ana Lilia Rivera Rivera, priced at 76.1% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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