As of October 24, 2026, 09:13 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 53.5% in Will T-Mobile (TMUS) beat quarterly earnings? — $767 traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 53.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +1.0 pts; past week: -13.5 pts.
Since October 16, 2026, No has traded between 15.5% and 64.0%. It opened at 15.5% and last traded at 53.5%.
No is favored at 53.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 54¢ | 53.5% | -1.0 pts | $767 | 100.0% |
| Yes | 46¢ | 46.5% | +1.0 pts | $767 | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 15¢ (bid 39¢ / ask 54¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$767 has been traded on this event in total, $116 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end October 28, 2026, 05:00 PM ET.
As of market creation, T-Mobile is estimated to release earnings on October 28, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for T-Mobile's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $2.97 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if T-Mobile reports GAAP EPS greater than $2.97 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. If T-Mobile releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”. If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.” Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024). Note: The strike prices used in these markets reflect the selected street consensus estimate for GAAP EPS as of market creation. Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. … (condensed)
Resolution source: https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/TMUS/earnings
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 233 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Awesome-Availability | No | 233 | $125 |
| Frosty-Funding | Yes | 171 | $79 |
| Giving-Criteria | No | 88 | $47 |
| Angelic-Craw | Yes | 60 | $28 |
| Diligent-Effort | Yes | 39 | $18 |
| Amazing-Antelope-Shakedown | Yes | 34 | $16 |
| Insidious-Meteor | Yes | 20 | $9 |
| Evil-Row | No | 20 | $11 |
| Gleaming-Handlebar | Yes | 10 | $5 |
| Whirlwind-Cooking | Yes | 7 | $3 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 02:57 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 47.5% | $18 |
| Oct 24, 02:57 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 47.0% | $18 |
| Oct 24, 02:57 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 47.0% | $18 |
| Oct 22, 07:07 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 41.0% | $8 |
| Oct 21, 10:27 PM ET | No | BUY | 61.0% | $6 |
| Oct 21, 10:27 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 39.0% | $4 |
| Oct 21, 05:31 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 66.2% | $40 |
| Oct 20, 04:53 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 37.0% | $69 |
| Oct 19, 12:00 PM ET | No | BUY | 65.0% | $21 |
| Oct 19, 11:00 AM ET | No | BUY | 64.0% | $4 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 53.5%. Next is Yes at 46.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/tmus-quarterly-earnings-gaap-eps-10-28-2026-2pt97?via=bro
$767 in total volume, with $116 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 28, 2026, 05:00 PM ET. It resolves based on https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/TMUS/earnings.
No, priced at 53.5% as of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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