As of October 24, 2026, 07:59 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Vicentinho Júnior at 90.0% in Tocantins Governor Election Winner — $48.3K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Vicentinho Júnior, is priced at 90.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +1.0 pts; past week: +8.0 pts; past month: +45.5 pts.
Since August 17, 2026, Vicentinho Júnior has traded between 21.0% and 89.0%. It opened at 25.0% and last traded at 89.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | 79.5% |
| Oct 15, 2026 | 84.0% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 82.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 76.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 77.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 80.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 89.0% |
Vicentinho Júnior is favored at 90.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vicentinho Júnior | 90¢ | 90.0% | +1.0 pts | $22.8K | 47.1% |
| Placeholder 1 | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Placeholder 2 | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Placeholder 3 | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Placeholder 4 | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Placeholder 5 | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Placeholder 6 | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Placeholder 7 | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Placeholder 8 | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Placeholder 9 | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Placeholder 10 | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Placeholder 11 | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Placeholder 12 | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Placeholder 13 | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Placeholder 14 | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Placeholder 15 | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Placeholder 16 | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Placeholder 17 | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Placeholder 18 | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Professora Dorinha | 8¢ | 8.0% | -2.5 pts | $17.9K | 37.0% |
| Ataides de Oliveira | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $1.7K | 3.6% |
| Du Pereira | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $2.6K | 5.5% |
| Laurez Moreira | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $645 | 1.3% |
| Prof. Witer Naves | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $1.5K | 3.1% |
| Subtenente Luiz Carlos | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $1.1K | 2.4% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 89¢ / ask 91¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$48.3K has been traded on this event in total, $2.0K of it in the last 24 hours, across 26 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The Tocantins gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Resolution source: https://www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 5,807 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 5,807 | $581 |
| Dental-Liquid | Yes | 3,676 | $3.3K |
| Sardonic-Lentil | Yes | 2,997 | $2.7K |
| Major-Vase | Yes | 683 | $615 |
| Treasured-Liner-Cheddar | No | 675 | $67 |
| Known-Use | No | 409 | $41 |
| Wan-Gymnastics | Yes | 383 | $345 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 356 | $36 |
| Unique-Dentist | No | 331 | $33 |
| Mean-Recruit-Idea | No | 305 | $30 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 06:37 PM ET | No | BUY | 10.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 06:32 PM ET | No | BUY | 10.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 06:28 PM ET | No | BUY | 10.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 06:20 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 91.0% | $47 |
| Oct 24, 04:51 PM ET | No | SELL | 8.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 02:42 PM ET | No | BUY | 10.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 02:38 PM ET | No | BUY | 10.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 01:10 PM ET | No | BUY | 11.0% | $8 |
| Oct 24, 12:53 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 89.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 12:43 PM ET | No | BUY | 90.0% | $437 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Vicentinho Júnior at 90.0%. Next is Placeholder 1 at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/tocantins-governor-election-winner?via=bro
$48.3K in total volume, with $2.0K traded in the last 24 hours across 26 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes.
Vicentinho Júnior, priced at 90.0% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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