As of October 24, 2026, 09:19 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 71.0% in Tom Kean Jr. out as US Rep before term ends? — $309 traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 71.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +5.0 pts; past week: +2.0 pts; past month: +17.0 pts.
Since July 01, 2026, No has traded between 55.5% and 90.0%. It opened at 55.5% and last traded at 71.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 83.0% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 73.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 72.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 75.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 75.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 73.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 71.5% |
No is favored at 71.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 71¢ | 71.0% | -5.0 pts | $309 | 100.0% |
| Yes | 29¢ | 29.0% | +5.0 pts | $309 | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 40¢ (bid 9¢ / ask 49¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$309 has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end January 03, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Thomas Kean Jr. ceases to be United States Representative from New Jersey's 7th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the regularly scheduled end of his term in the current Congress. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Kean's early resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Thomas Kean Jr. and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 40 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 40 | $12 |
| Evil-Row | No | 34 | $24 |
| Oddball-Poison | No | 18 | $13 |
| Squiggly-Waiting | Yes | 12 | $4 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 11:42 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 28.0% | $1 |
| Oct 13, 12:49 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 16.0% | $3 |
| Oct 07, 09:30 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 11.0% | $2 |
| Oct 07, 09:30 AM ET | No | SELL | 89.0% | $18 |
| Oct 07, 09:30 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 8.0% | $2 |
| Oct 01, 12:18 PM ET | No | BUY | 84.0% | $17 |
| Sep 17, 08:46 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 11.0% | $2 |
| Sep 17, 08:27 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 8.0% | $2 |
| Sep 15, 10:15 PM ET | No | BUY | 80.0% | $16 |
| Sep 15, 06:36 PM ET | No | BUY | 81.0% | $16 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 71.0%. Next is Yes at 29.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/tom-kean-jrptout-as-us-rep-before-term-ends-20260701205956589?via=bro
$309 in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end January 03, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 71.0% as of October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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