As of October 24, 2026, 07:58 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Erling Braut Haaland at 78.5% in Top 5 Most Searched Athletes on Google 2026 — $51.0K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Erling Braut Haaland, is priced at 78.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +1.0 pts; past week: -7.5 pts; past month: +7.0 pts.
Since September 09, 2026, Erling Braut Haaland has traded between 49.0% and 92.0%. It opened at 49.0% and last traded at 77.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 86.5% |
| Oct 17, 2026 | 86.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 84.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 83.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 80.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 77.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 77.5% |
Erling Braut Haaland is favored at 78.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erling Braut Haaland | 78¢ | 78.5% | +1.0 pts | $1.9K | 3.8% |
| Alysa Liu | 62¢ | 61.5% | — | $8.0K | 15.7% |
| Vozinha | 45¢ | 45.0% | +12.0 pts | $2.3K | 4.6% |
| Lindsey Vonn | 31¢ | 31.0% | — | $670 | 1.3% |
| Lionel Messi | 30¢ | 29.5% | — | $4.4K | 8.7% |
| Ilia Malinin | 23¢ | 23.0% | — | $5.9K | 11.5% |
| Kylian Mbappé | 21¢ | 21.0% | — | $5.2K | 10.2% |
| Folarin Balogun | 20¢ | 20.0% | +0.5 pts | $2.7K | 5.3% |
| Anthony Joshua | 16¢ | 16.0% | +2.0 pts | $3.8K | 7.4% |
| Lamine Yamal | 15¢ | 15.0% | -1.0 pts | $3.6K | 7.1% |
| Victor Wembanyama | 14¢ | 14.0% | — | $1.2K | 2.4% |
| Conor McGregor | 14¢ | 13.5% | -5.0 pts | $5.7K | 11.2% |
| Jalen Brunson | 10¢ | 9.7% | -0.1 pts | $3.9K | 7.7% |
| Arch Manning | 4¢ | 3.9% | +0.4 pts | $1.6K | 3.2% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 77¢ / ask 80¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$51.0K has been traded on this event in total, $170 of it in the last 24 hours, across 14 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 06:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed athlete is ranked in the Top 5 of Google’s official Year in Search Global "Athletes" list for 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The specified list is expected to be displayed on the Google Trends Year in Search hub, with location selected to Global. The navigation procedure as of market creation involves going to trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ and clicking through Global → Trending → Athletes. The 2026 page is expected to appear using the same navigation once released (as the 2025 page currently shows the specified ranking). This market will resolve based on the specified list regardless of navigation procedure. This market may resolve as soon as the specified list for 2026 is released. If Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market will be the specified list as published by Google.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 250 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Right-Institute | Yes | 250 | $196 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 130 | $28 |
| Ajar-Backup | No | 100 | $22 |
| Evil-Row | No | 85 | $18 |
| Amazing-Accommodation | Yes | 80 | $63 |
| Gruesome-Media | No | 62 | $13 |
| Quizzical-Hire | No | 53 | $11 |
| Known-Use | Yes | 49 | $38 |
| Plastic-Duck | Yes | 20 | $16 |
| Lonely-Doubling | Yes | 20 | $16 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 04:41 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 18.0% | $4 |
| Oct 20, 07:04 PM ET | No | SELL | 38.0% | $8 |
| Oct 20, 11:29 AM ET | No | BUY | 37.0% | $4 |
| Oct 20, 10:38 AM ET | No | BUY | 77.9% | $36 |
| Oct 19, 11:16 PM ET | No | BUY | 77.7% | $16 |
| Oct 19, 09:02 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 23.9% | $6 |
| Oct 19, 06:06 PM ET | No | BUY | 36.0% | $15 |
| Oct 19, 05:14 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 62.0% | $12 |
| Oct 19, 10:55 AM ET | No | SELL | 76.7% | $15 |
| Oct 19, 06:50 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 61.0% | $35 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Erling Braut Haaland at 78.5%. Next is Alysa Liu at 61.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/top-5-most-searched-athletes-on-google-2026?via=bro
$51.0K in total volume, with $170 traded in the last 24 hours across 14 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 06:59 PM ET.
Erling Braut Haaland, priced at 78.5% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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