As of October 24, 2026, 06:27 PM ET, Polymarket traders price DeepSeek at 99.0% in #1 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 19? — $11.1K traded so far.
The leading outcome, DeepSeek, is priced at 99.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.5 pts.
Since October 19, 2026, DeepSeek has traded between 88.0% and 99.0%. It opened at 88.0% and last traded at 99.0%.
DeepSeek is favored at 99.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeepSeek | 99¢ | 99.0% | +0.5 pts | $5.6K | 50.4% |
| AI lab F | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| AI lab G | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| OpenAI | 0¢ | 0.4% | -0.9 pts | $505 | 4.6% |
| Tencent | 0¢ | 0.4% | -0.2 pts | $465 | 4.2% |
| 0¢ | 0.4% | -0.1 pts | $374 | 3.4% | |
| Xiaomi | 0¢ | 0.3% | -0.9 pts | $466 | 4.2% |
| Z.ai | 0¢ | 0.2% | -0.2 pts | $433 | 3.9% |
| Nvidia | 0¢ | 0.2% | -0.3 pts | $491 | 4.4% |
| MiniMax | 0¢ | 0.2% | -0.3 pts | $520 | 4.7% |
| Meta | 0¢ | 0.2% | -0.2 pts | $388 | 3.5% |
| Qwen | 0¢ | 0.2% | -0.1 pts | $227 | 2.0% |
| Anthropic | 0¢ | 0.1% | -0.2 pts | $422 | 3.8% |
| xAI | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $1.2K | 10.9% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 0¢ (bid 99¢ / ask 99¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$11.1K has been traded on this event in total, $1.8K of it in the last 24 hours, across 15 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 27, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
This market will resolve to the AI lab with the highest market share on OpenRouter for the week of October 19 to October 25, 2026. A lab's market share is the percentage displayed for that lab in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage, for the week of October 19 to October 25, 2026. The "stealth" and "others" groupings are not labs; if either occupies the relevant rank, it will be skipped and the next ranked lab will be used. This market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of October 19 to October 25, 2026 once the figures for the week of October 26, 2026 are first displayed. If the figures for the week of October 26, 2026 have not been displayed by 11:59 PM ET on October 30, 2026, this market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of October 19 to October 25, 2026 at that time. If no data is available for the week of October 19 to October 25, 2026 at that time, this market will resolve to "Other". The AI labs will be primarily ranked by the percentage displayed in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage. If two or more labs are tied on market share in percentage terms, the lab with the larger token count displayed in the Absolute view of the chart will be ranked higher. If a tie still remains, the lab whose listed name comes first alphabetically will be ranked higher. … (condensed)
Resolution source: https://openrouter.ai/rankings
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 520 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jumbo-Cupcake | No | 520 | $5 |
| Composed-Infix | Yes | 494 | $489 |
| Sandy-Wife | Yes | 430 | $426 |
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 353 | $4 |
| Piercing-Formation | Yes | 308 | $305 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 202 | $2 |
| Our-Sherry | Yes | 200 | $198 |
| Arid-Cinema | No | 200 | $2 |
| Perfumed-Moat | No | 182 | $2 |
| Bustling-Safe | Yes | 166 | $164 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 12:59 PM ET | No | SELL | 1.0% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 05:05 AM ET | No | BUY | 99.9% | $166 |
| Oct 24, 05:05 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 98.9% | $164 |
| Oct 23, 12:15 PM ET | No | BUY | 1.9% | $1 |
| Oct 23, 12:15 PM ET | No | BUY | 99.9% | $33 |
| Oct 23, 12:15 PM ET | No | BUY | 99.8% | $33 |
| Oct 23, 12:03 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 97.3% | $297 |
| Oct 22, 09:05 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 97.3% | $97 |
| Oct 22, 03:09 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 97.3% | $47 |
| Oct 22, 11:51 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 97.3% | $97 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is DeepSeek at 99.0%. Next is AI lab F at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/top-ai-lab-by-openrouter-market-share-week-of-october-19?via=bro
$11.1K in total volume, with $1.8K traded in the last 24 hours across 15 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 27, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. It resolves based on https://openrouter.ai/rankings.
DeepSeek, priced at 99.0% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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