As of October 24, 2026, 07:52 PM ET, Polymarket traders price >$2.5B at 97.9% in Total crypto hack value in 2026? — $94.2K traded so far.
The leading outcome, >$2.5B, is priced at 97.9%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: -0.1 pts; past month: +40.8 pts.
Since April 21, 2026, >$2.5B has traded between 8.0% and 98.9%. It opened at 45.0% and last traded at 97.9%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 98.7% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 98.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 97.9% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 97.9% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 97.9% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 97.9% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 97.9% |
>$2.5B is favored at 97.9%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| >$2.5B | 98¢ | 97.9% | — | $2.9K | 3.1% |
| >$3B | 59¢ | 58.7% | -0.3 pts | $3.0K | 3.2% |
| >$3.5B | 10¢ | 10.0% | — | $3.9K | 4.1% |
| >$4B | 4¢ | 3.8% | -1.7 pts | $1.5K | 1.6% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 97¢ / ask 99¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$94.2K has been traded on this event in total, $42 of it in the last 24 hours, across 4 markets.
This market is scheduled to end January 01, 2027, 12:00 AM ET.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total crypto hack value in 2026 exceeds the amount specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is DefiLlama, specifically the hacks page available at: https://defillama.com/hacks The total value will be calculated as the sum of all “Amount lost” entries for incidents dated in 2026. If the data is revised before the threshold is hit, the latest numbers will be used. If the data becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve using other credible crypto data sources.
Resolution source: https://defillama.com/hacks
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,017 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Reasonable-Paradise | Yes | 1,017 | $995 |
| Timely-Photo | No | 304 | $7 |
| Peaceful-Fire-Bell | Yes | 295 | $288 |
| Murky-Cowboy | No | 271 | $6 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 144 | $3 |
| Snappy-Rooster | No | 141 | $3 |
| Separate-Conga | No | 117 | $3 |
| Infatuated-Treasury | No | 107 | $2 |
| Notable-Reality | No | 100 | $2 |
| Grim-Garage | No | 82 | $2 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 08:34 PM ET | No | BUY | 43.5% | $4 |
| Oct 22, 01:14 PM ET | No | BUY | 41.9% | $15 |
| Oct 22, 03:58 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 60.7% | $3 |
| Oct 20, 07:13 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 11.2% | $1 |
| Oct 19, 04:10 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 11.1% | $2 |
| Oct 19, 04:10 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 11.2% | $3 |
| Oct 19, 04:10 AM ET | No | BUY | 87.5% | $122 |
| Oct 18, 08:43 PM ET | No | SELL | 87.1% | $70 |
| Oct 18, 03:17 AM ET | No | BUY | 88.7% | $42 |
| Oct 17, 02:37 AM ET | No | BUY | 33.8% | $2 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is >$2.5B at 97.9%. Next is >$3B at 58.7%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/total-crypto-hack-value-in-2026?via=bro
$94.2K in total volume, with $42 traded in the last 24 hours across 4 markets.
The market is scheduled to end January 01, 2027, 12:00 AM ET. It resolves based on https://defillama.com/hacks.
>$2.5B, priced at 97.9% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
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