As of October 24, 2026, 08:14 PM ET, Polymarket traders price $100M at 66.5% in TownSquare FDV above ___ one day after launch? — $17.7K traded so far.
The leading outcome, $100M, is priced at 66.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: +4.5 pts.
Since July 20, 2026, $100M has traded between 58.0% and 86.0%. It opened at 59.0% and last traded at 66.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 77.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 62.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 64.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 63.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 66.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 66.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 66.5% |
$100M is favored at 66.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $100M | 66¢ | 66.5% | — | $2.1K | 11.9% |
| $150M | 55¢ | 54.5% | +8.0 pts | $1.6K | 9.0% |
| $125M | 52¢ | 51.5% | +4.0 pts | $2.1K | 11.7% |
| $175M | 48¢ | 47.5% | — | $1.8K | 9.9% |
| $200M | 40¢ | 39.5% | — | $1.9K | 10.5% |
| $225M | 37¢ | 37.0% | +3.0 pts | $1.7K | 9.5% |
| $250M | 35¢ | 35.0% | +7.5 pts | $1.2K | 7.0% |
| $300M | 14¢ | 13.5% | +1.0 pts | $1.5K | 8.2% |
| $350M | 14¢ | 13.5% | +2.0 pts | $2.0K | 11.4% |
| $400M | 8¢ | 7.5% | — | $983 | 5.5% |
| $500M | 6¢ | 6.5% | +1.0 pts | $938 | 5.3% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 65¢ / ask 68¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$17.7K has been traded on this event in total, $259 of it in the last 24 hours, across 11 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of TownSquare's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by TownSquare after the creation of this market will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If TownSquare (https://x.com/TownSquarexyz) doesn't launch a token by January 1, 2028, 12:00 AM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Resolution source: https://x.com/TownSquarexyz
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 121 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fruitful-Ectoderm | No | 121 | $41 |
| Periodic-Choker | Yes | 90 | $60 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 74 | $25 |
| Flowery-Cuticle | Yes | 62 | $42 |
| Present-Lava | Yes | 40 | $27 |
| Direct-Chainstay | No | 31 | $10 |
| Jam-Packed-Dividend | Yes | 27 | $18 |
| Rural-Sight | Yes | 22 | $14 |
| Sneaky-Spouse | No | 21 | $7 |
| Rapid-Precipitation | Yes | 20 | $13 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 06:25 PM ET | No | BUY | 48.0% | $36 |
| Oct 24, 11:13 AM ET | No | SELL | 42.0% | $13 |
| Oct 24, 12:04 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 50.2% | $66 |
| Oct 23, 07:16 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 48.0% | $14 |
| Oct 23, 01:40 PM ET | No | SELL | 88.0% | $1 |
| Oct 23, 12:51 PM ET | No | SELL | 88.0% | $73 |
| Oct 23, 12:51 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 13.0% | $4 |
| Oct 23, 11:28 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 43.0% | $13 |
| Oct 23, 10:27 AM ET | No | BUY | 46.0% | $48 |
| Oct 23, 04:12 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 50.0% | $22 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is $100M at 66.5%. Next is $150M at 54.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/townsquare-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch-20260720191919468?via=bro
$17.7K in total volume, with $259 traded in the last 24 hours across 11 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://x.com/TownSquarexyz.
$100M, priced at 66.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
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