As of October 24, 2026, 08:17 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Ján Forgáč at 97.8% in Trenčín Mayoral Election Winner — $12.8K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Ján Forgáč, is priced at 97.8%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +10.8 pts; past week: +12.3 pts; past month: +39.8 pts.
Since August 31, 2026, Ján Forgáč has traded between 40.5% and 91.5%. It opened at 45.0% and last traded at 86.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 84.5% |
| Oct 17, 2026 | 85.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 86.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 86.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 91.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 71.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 86.0% |
Ján Forgáč is favored at 97.8%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ján Forgáč | 98¢ | 97.8% | +10.8 pts | $6.0K | 47.1% |
| Person A | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person B | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person C | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person D | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person E | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person F | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person G | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person H | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person I | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person J | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person K | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person L | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person M | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person N | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person O | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person P | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person Q | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person R | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person S | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person T | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person U | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person V | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person W | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person X | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person Y | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person Z | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Danica Birošová | 1¢ | 1.3% | -0.3 pts | $1.0K | 7.9% |
| Anton Kysel | 1¢ | 0.9% | -0.2 pts | $1.4K | 10.9% |
| Miloš Mičega | 0¢ | 0.5% | -6.5 pts | $3.3K | 26.0% |
| Michal Bratranec | 0¢ | 0.3% | -0.2 pts | $1.0K | 8.1% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 4¢ (bid 96¢ / ask 100¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$12.8K has been traded on this event in total, $1.6K of it in the last 24 hours, across 32 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The 2026 Trenčín mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 24, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Trenčín as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Trenčín, Trenčín Region and Slovakia, including the Statistical Office of the Slovak Republic (https://volby.statistics.sk/).
Resolution source: https://volby.statistics.sk/
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,038 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 1,038 | $23 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 987 | $22 |
| Elementary-Quiver | Yes | 868 | $849 |
| Thankful-Contention | Yes | 275 | $269 |
| Flashy-Voyage-Inlay | Yes | 220 | $216 |
| SnowLover7 | Yes | 212 | $207 |
| Harmful-Raincoat-Godfather | Yes | 185 | $181 |
| Arid-Cinema | Yes | 150 | $147 |
| Better-Denim-Diet | No | 137 | $3 |
| Odd-Relish | Yes | 111 | $109 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 08:03 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 99.0% | $12 |
| Oct 24, 07:58 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 0.1% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 07:58 PM ET | No | BUY | 1.0% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 07:58 PM ET | No | BUY | 99.0% | $11 |
| Oct 24, 07:58 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 98.9% | $175 |
| Oct 24, 07:58 PM ET | No | BUY | 99.0% | $40 |
| Oct 24, 07:57 PM ET | No | BUY | 97.0% | $39 |
| Oct 24, 07:55 PM ET | No | BUY | 90.0% | $41 |
| Oct 24, 07:55 PM ET | No | BUY | 10.0% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 07:55 PM ET | No | BUY | 90.0% | $27 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is Ján Forgáč at 97.8%. Next is Person A at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/trencin-mayoral-election-winner-2026?via=bro
$12.8K in total volume, with $1.6K traded in the last 24 hours across 32 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://volby.statistics.sk/.
Ján Forgáč, priced at 97.8% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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