As of October 24, 2026, 08:17 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Jaroslav Baška at 99.9% in Trenčín Region Governor Election Winner — $14.8K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Jaroslav Baška, is priced at 99.9%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +11.7 pts; past week: +4.5 pts; past month: +4.6 pts.
Since August 31, 2026, Jaroslav Baška has traded between 86.6% and 99.9%. It opened at 92.5% and last traded at 99.9%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 96.3% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 95.4% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 95.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 95.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 95.4% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 86.6% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 99.9% |
Jaroslav Baška is favored at 99.9%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaroslav Baška | 100¢ | 99.9% | +11.7 pts | $13.2K | 89.4% |
| Person A | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person B | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person C | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person D | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person E | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person F | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person G | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person H | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person I | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person J | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person K | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person L | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person M | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person N | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person O | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person P | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person Q | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person R | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person S | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person T | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person U | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person V | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person W | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person X | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person Y | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person Z | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Natália Svítková | 0¢ | 0.1% | -6.0 pts | $1.6K | 10.6% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 0¢ (bid 100¢ / ask 100¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$14.8K has been traded on this event in total, $2.2K of it in the last 24 hours, across 29 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Trenčín Region, Slovakia on October 24, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Trenčín Region gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Trenčín Region and Slovakia, including the Statistical Office of the Slovak Republic (https://volby.statistics.sk/).
Resolution source: https://volby.statistics.sk/
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 739 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Close-Circadian | Yes | 739 | $738 |
| Leading-Contest | No | 640 | $1 |
| Thankful-Contention | Yes | 500 | $499 |
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 348 | $1 |
| Cluttered-Hill | No | 250 | $0 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 221 | $0 |
| Scared-Administrator | Yes | 200 | $200 |
| Shameful-Union | Yes | 173 | $173 |
| Luminous-Burn | No | 132 | $0 |
| Innocent-Passive | Yes | 103 | $102 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 08:15 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 99.9% | $9 |
| Oct 24, 08:10 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 99.9% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 08:00 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 99.8% | $10 |
| Oct 24, 07:38 PM ET | No | BUY | 99.9% | $661 |
| Oct 24, 07:34 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 99.9% | $100 |
| Oct 24, 07:18 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 99.8% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 07:18 PM ET | No | BUY | 99.8% | $11 |
| Oct 24, 07:18 PM ET | No | BUY | 0.2% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 07:18 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 99.8% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 07:18 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 99.8% | $485 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is Jaroslav Baška at 99.9%. Next is Person A at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/trencin-region-governor-election-winner?via=bro
$14.8K in total volume, with $2.2K traded in the last 24 hours across 29 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://volby.statistics.sk/.
Jaroslav Baška, priced at 99.9% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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