As of October 24, 2026, 08:14 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Eva Nemčovská at 82.0% in Trnava Mayoral Election Winner — $19.5K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Eva Nemčovská, is priced at 82.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +21.0 pts; past week: +15.5 pts; past month: +46.0 pts.
Since August 31, 2026, Eva Nemčovská has traded between 23.5% and 82.0%. It opened at 46.0% and last traded at 82.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 65.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 69.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 67.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 45.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 60.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 55.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 82.0% |
Eva Nemčovská is favored at 82.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eva Nemčovská | 82¢ | 82.0% | +21.0 pts | $6.0K | 30.8% |
| Person A | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person B | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person C | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person D | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person E | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person F | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person G | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person H | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person I | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person J | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person K | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person L | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person M | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person N | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person O | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person P | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person Q | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person R | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person S | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person T | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person U | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person V | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person W | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person X | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person Y | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person Z | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Branislav Baroš | 16¢ | 16.0% | -19.5 pts | $7.9K | 40.7% |
| Andrea Čajková | 1¢ | 0.6% | -4.1 pts | $4.1K | 21.1% |
| Ľubica Horváthová | 0¢ | 0.4% | -0.1 pts | $1.4K | 7.4% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 18¢ (bid 73¢ / ask 91¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$19.5K has been traded on this event in total, $1.4K of it in the last 24 hours, across 31 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The 2026 Trnava mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 24, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Trnava as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Trnava, Trnava Region and Slovakia, including the Statistical Office of the Slovak Republic (https://volby.statistics.sk/).
Resolution source: https://volby.statistics.sk/
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 549 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 549 | $99 |
| SnowLover7 | Yes | 286 | $235 |
| Reliable-Makeover | Yes | 271 | $222 |
| Extraneous-Respite | Yes | 250 | $205 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 233 | $42 |
| Fearful-Congress | No | 217 | $39 |
| Quarterly-Locker | Yes | 205 | $168 |
| Flickering-Wing | Yes | 173 | $142 |
| Dapper-Baseball | Yes | 158 | $129 |
| Direct-Chainstay | No | 137 | $25 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 05:24 PM ET | No | BUY | 89.0% | $42 |
| Oct 24, 04:29 PM ET | No | BUY | 90.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 04:29 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 91.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 04:29 PM ET | No | BUY | 70.0% | $17 |
| Oct 24, 04:29 PM ET | No | BUY | 70.0% | $14 |
| Oct 24, 04:29 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 71.5% | $52 |
| Oct 24, 04:29 PM ET | No | BUY | 99.9% | $10 |
| Oct 24, 04:08 PM ET | No | BUY | 70.0% | $35 |
| Oct 24, 03:39 PM ET | No | BUY | 70.0% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 03:39 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 71.0% | $4 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is Eva Nemčovská at 82.0%. Next is Person A at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/trnava-mayoral-election-winner-2026?via=bro
$19.5K in total volume, with $1.4K traded in the last 24 hours across 31 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://volby.statistics.sk/.
Eva Nemčovská, priced at 82.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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