As of October 24, 2026, 08:02 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Roy Charlie Arbaiza Corcuera at 94.7% in Trujillo Mayoral Election Winner — $37.1K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Roy Charlie Arbaiza Corcuera, is priced at 94.7%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.4 pts; past week: +7.6 pts; past month: +86.6 pts.
Since August 12, 2026, Roy Charlie Arbaiza Corcuera has traded between 0.1% and 99.5%. It opened at 19.5% and last traded at 94.2%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 86.7% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 87.1% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 84.9% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 96.2% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 96.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 94.3% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 94.2% |
Roy Charlie Arbaiza Corcuera is favored at 94.7%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roy Charlie Arbaiza Corcuera | 95¢ | 94.7% | +0.4 pts | $3.5K | 9.5% |
| Person A | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person B | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person C | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person D | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person E | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person F | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person G | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person H | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person I | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person J | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person K | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person L | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person M | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person N | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person O | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person P | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person Q | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person R | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person S | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person T | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person U | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person V | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person W | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person X | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person Y | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person Z | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Víctor Robert De La Cruz Rosas | 5¢ | 5.3% | -4.7 pts | $7.3K | 19.7% |
| Víctor Julio León Álvarez | 0¢ | 0.4% | — | $6.6K | 17.7% |
| Mario Colberth Reyna Rodríguez | 0¢ | 0.2% | — | $6.4K | 17.2% |
| Carlos Enrique Alva Rojas | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $2.6K | 6.9% |
| Alfredo Manuel Galindo Peralta | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $830 | 2.2% |
| José Rodar Miranda Prado | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $446 | 1.2% |
| José María Alberto Arcila Corales | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $1.0K | 2.7% |
| Wilmar Alfredo Moreno Fuentes | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $573 | 1.5% |
| Gheyli Katherin Tirado Rafael | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $924 | 2.5% |
| Raúl Edgardo Aldana Dioses | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $937 | 2.5% |
| Luis Ángel Zavala Espino | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $943 | 2.5% |
| Milton Marcelino Ramírez Herrera | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $1.0K | 2.8% |
| Víctor Alfonso Castañeda Carrera | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $2.3K | 6.1% |
| Benjamín Kalhet Reyes Rebaza | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $868 | 2.3% |
| Jesús Alverto Velásquez Reyna | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $924 | 2.5% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 9¢ (bid 90¢ / ask 99¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$37.1K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 43 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 04, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The 2026 Trujillo, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Trujillo as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
Resolution source: https://jne.gob.pe
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 2,853 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 2,853 | $151 |
| Awesome-Availability | Yes | 1,317 | $1.2K |
| Dull-Universe | Yes | 900 | $852 |
| Disguised-Pajamas | Yes | 251 | $238 |
| Knowledgeable-Supporter | Yes | 185 | $175 |
| Straight-Wrinkle | Yes | 182 | $172 |
| Direct-Chainstay | No | 139 | $7 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 86 | $5 |
| Arctic-Kickoff | Yes | 63 | $60 |
| Spirited-Priest | Yes | 50 | $47 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 03:59 AM ET | No | SELL | 99.7% | $0 |
| Oct 21, 03:59 AM ET | No | SELL | 99.7% | $0 |
| Oct 21, 03:59 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 0.1% | $0 |
| Oct 21, 02:07 AM ET | No | SELL | 99.7% | $0 |
| Oct 21, 02:07 AM ET | No | SELL | 99.7% | $0 |
| Oct 21, 02:07 AM ET | No | SELL | 51.0% | $50 |
| Oct 21, 02:07 AM ET | No | SELL | 99.7% | $0 |
| Oct 21, 02:07 AM ET | No | SELL | 99.7% | $0 |
| Oct 21, 02:07 AM ET | No | SELL | 51.2% | $51 |
| Oct 21, 02:07 AM ET | No | SELL | 86.6% | $87 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Roy Charlie Arbaiza Corcuera at 94.7%. Next is Person A at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/trujillo-mayoral-election-winner-20260811165718694?via=bro
$37.1K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 43 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 04, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://jne.gob.pe.
Roy Charlie Arbaiza Corcuera, priced at 94.7% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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