As of October 24, 2026, 09:16 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 82.3% in Trump Admin held in contempt over press ban by October 31? — $427 traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 82.3%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -0.3 pts; past week: -3.4 pts.
Since September 25, 2026, No has traded between 52.0% and 94.5%. It opened at 52.0% and last traded at 82.3%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 79.3% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 79.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 78.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 78.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 82.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 82.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 82.3% |
No is favored at 82.3%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 82¢ | 82.3% | +0.3 pts | $427 | 100.0% |
| Yes | 18¢ | 17.7% | -0.3 pts | $427 | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 29¢ (bid 3¢ / ask 32¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$427 has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any U.S. federal court formally holds President Donald J. Trump, or any official, agency, employee, or representative of the Trump administration, in contempt of court in connection with the September 2026 revocation of White House press access for CNN, MS NOW, and/or Politico or a related court order, by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Civil or criminal contempt will qualify. The following will not qualify on their own: the filing of a motion for contempt; an order to show cause why a party should not be held in contempt; a finding of probable cause that criminal contempt has occurred; a judge's verbal warning or admonishment; or sanctions, fees, or other relief imposed without a contempt finding. A qualifying contempt finding that is subsequently stayed, vacated, or reversed will still resolve this market to "Yes", provided the finding was issued on or before October 31, 2026. The resolution source will be official federal court records, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 166 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 166 | $29 |
| Woozy-Stepaunt | No | 150 | $123 |
| Mundane-Hood | Yes | 100 | $18 |
| True-Parallelogram | No | 91 | $75 |
| Oddball-Poison | Yes | 50 | $9 |
| Mellow-Settlement | No | 45 | $37 |
| baybug | No | 40 | $33 |
| Gloomy-Frigate | Yes | 22 | $4 |
| Drab-Rose | Yes | 17 | $3 |
| Scratchy-Loading | No | 15 | $12 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 09:36 PM ET | No | BUY | 97.6% | $13 |
| Oct 06, 10:37 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 37.0% | $1 |
| Oct 01, 03:57 AM ET | No | BUY | 98.0% | $3 |
| Oct 01, 03:57 AM ET | No | BUY | 95.0% | $86 |
| Sep 30, 06:55 PM ET | No | BUY | 90.0% | $4 |
| Sep 30, 01:55 PM ET | No | BUY | 88.0% | $35 |
| Sep 30, 10:03 AM ET | No | SELL | 87.0% | $9 |
| Sep 28, 04:01 PM ET | No | SELL | 87.0% | $1 |
| Sep 28, 09:43 AM ET | No | BUY | 88.0% | $9 |
| Sep 28, 02:21 AM ET | No | BUY | 88.0% | $44 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 82.3%. Next is Yes at 17.7%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/trump-admin-held-in-contempt-over-press-ban-by-october-31?via=bro
$427 in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 82.3% as of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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