As of October 24, 2026, 06:23 PM ET, Polymarket traders price 36.0+ at 96.8% in Trump approval rating at least ___ on October 30? — $8.2K traded so far.
The leading outcome, 36.0+, is priced at 96.8%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +1.6 pts.
Since October 22, 2026, 36.0+ has traded between 87.5% and 97.0%. It opened at 87.5% and last traded at 97.0%.
36.0+ is favored at 96.8%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36.0+ | 97¢ | 96.8% | +1.6 pts | $1.1K | 12.9% |
| 37.0+ | 92¢ | 92.5% | +1.0 pts | $3.1K | 37.5% |
| 38.0+ | 84¢ | 83.5% | +12.0 pts | $850 | 10.4% |
| 39.0+ | 38¢ | 38.0% | +4.0 pts | $743 | 9.1% |
| 40.0+ | 7¢ | 7.0% | -4.5 pts | $2.0K | 23.9% |
| 41.0+ | 0¢ | 0.2% | -1.0 pts | $512 | 6.3% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 96¢ / ask 98¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$8.2K has been traded on this event in total, $4.9K of it in the last 24 hours, across 6 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump's approval rating according to RealClearPolling is equal to or higher than the listed value at 5:00 PM ET on October 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market's resolution source will be RealClearPolling's presidential job approval poll average, https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/approval-rating, specifically the value in the "Approve" column of the "RCP Average" row of the table titled "President Trump Job Approval" as displayed at 5:00 PM ET on the resolution date. Any updates or revisions to the RCP Average published after this time will not be considered, except for corrections of data integrity issues as described below. Changes in the methodology by which RealClearPolling calculates its average will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where RealClearPolling differs from alternative sources. … (condensed)
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 262 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sympathetic-Prevention | Yes | 262 | $254 |
| Evil-Row | No | 127 | $4 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 103 | $3 |
| 0x80fea69a… | Yes | 63 | $61 |
| Grumpy-Invader | No | 50 | $2 |
| Thrifty-Representative | Yes | 40 | $39 |
| Direct-Chainstay | No | 27 | $1 |
| 0x7a1f36a1… | No | 26 | $1 |
| Frozen-Stockintrade | Yes | 20 | $19 |
| Well-To-Do-Marketer-Equipment | No | 20 | $1 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 06:03 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 90.5% | $50 |
| Oct 24, 06:03 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 95.0% | $19 |
| Oct 24, 06:02 PM ET | No | SELL | 10.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 06:02 PM ET | No | BUY | 9.0% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 06:02 PM ET | No | BUY | 9.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 06:02 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 93.0% | $126 |
| Oct 24, 06:02 PM ET | No | BUY | 11.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 04:50 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 7.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 02:32 PM ET | No | BUY | 93.0% | $74 |
| Oct 24, 01:23 PM ET | No | BUY | 11.0% | $2 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is 36.0+ at 96.8%. Next is 37.0+ at 92.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/trump-approval-rating-at-least-on-october-30?via=bro
$8.2K in total volume, with $4.9K traded in the last 24 hours across 6 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
36.0+, priced at 96.8% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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