As of October 24, 2026, 06:26 PM ET, Polymarket traders price 38.5–38.9 at 36.5% in Trump approval rating on October 30? — $4.6K traded so far.
The leading outcome, 38.5–38.9, is priced at 36.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +7.0 pts.
Since October 22, 2026, 38.5–38.9 has traded between 31.0% and 36.5%. It opened at 31.0% and last traded at 36.5%.
38.5–38.9 is favored at 36.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 38.5–38.9 | 36¢ | 36.5% | +7.0 pts | $1.0K | 22.0% |
| 38.0–38.4 | 26¢ | 26.5% | +4.5 pts | $491 | 10.7% |
| 39.0–39.4 | 20¢ | 20.5% | +6.5 pts | $713 | 15.6% |
| 39.5+ | 10¢ | 10.5% | -13.5 pts | $712 | 15.6% |
| 37.5–37.9 | 6¢ | 6.5% | -18.5 pts | $643 | 14.1% |
| <37.5 | 6¢ | 5.5% | -13.5 pts | $1.0K | 22.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 17¢ (bid 28¢ / ask 45¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$4.6K has been traded on this event in total, $2.3K of it in the last 24 hours, across 6 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to Donald Trump's approval rating as reported by RealClearPolling at 5:00 PM ET on October 30, 2026. This market's resolution source will be RealClearPolling's presidential job approval poll average, https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/approval-rating, specifically the value in the "Approve" column of the "RCP Average" row of the table titled "President Trump Job Approval" as displayed at 5:00 PM ET on the resolution date. Any updates or revisions to the RCP Average published after this time will not be considered, except for corrections of data integrity issues as described below. Changes in the methodology by which RealClearPolling calculates its average will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where RealClearPolling differs from alternative sources. If the RCP Average is unavailable at 5:00 PM ET on the resolution date, this market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the resolution date. … (condensed)
Resolution source: https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/approval-rating
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 252 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 252 | $160 |
| Miserly-Editing | Yes | 200 | $73 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 106 | $39 |
| Evil-Row | No | 32 | $20 |
| Oddball-Poison | No | 28 | $18 |
| Direct-Chainstay | No | 20 | $13 |
| Mixed-Morsel-Embossing | Yes | 13 | $5 |
| Feline-Resemblance | Yes | 12 | $4 |
| Gripping-Abolishment | No | 10 | $6 |
| Plump-Implementation | Yes | 6 | $2 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 03:14 PM ET | No | BUY | 66.0% | $19 |
| Oct 24, 01:27 PM ET | No | BUY | 93.0% | $19 |
| Oct 24, 01:23 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 12.0% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 01:16 PM ET | No | BUY | 81.0% | $10 |
| Oct 24, 01:16 PM ET | No | BUY | 68.0% | $8 |
| Oct 24, 01:04 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 1.0% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 01:04 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 2.0% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 01:04 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 8.0% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 01:04 PM ET | No | BUY | 93.0% | $19 |
| Oct 24, 01:03 PM ET | No | BUY | 78.0% | $10 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is 38.5–38.9 at 36.5%. Next is 38.0–38.4 at 26.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/trump-approval-rating-on-october-30?via=bro
$4.6K in total volume, with $2.3K traded in the last 24 hours across 6 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/approval-rating.
38.5–38.9, priced at 36.5% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
Prices move fast. Check the live book, read the resolution rules, and size small while you learn.
Sign Up on PolymarketNew here? Start with the complete beginner guide, then run any stake through the payout calculator before you trade.