As of October 24, 2026, 07:51 PM ET, Polymarket traders price December 31, 2026 at 2.8% in Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto by ___? — $118.2K traded so far.
The leading outcome, December 31, 2026, is priced at 2.8%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: +0.6 pts; past month: -0.4 pts.
Since December 30, 2025, December 31, 2026 has traded between 1.7% and 50.0%. It opened at 50.0% and last traded at 3.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | 2.1% |
| Oct 13, 2026 | 2.2% |
| Oct 15, 2026 | 2.2% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 2.1% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 3.1% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 3.1% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 3.0% |
December 31, 2026 is favored at 2.8%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2026 | 3¢ | 2.8% | — | $33.9K | 28.7% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 2¢ / ask 3¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$118.2K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end January 01, 2027, 12:00 AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs a bill into law or performs any executive action changing US tax law to eliminate capital gains tax on any cryptocurrency assets by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Such a bill must apply to US taxpaying persons in general; if a law applies only to specific companies or institutions, it will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market. If capital gains is eliminated only for specific types or classes of crypto assets (e.g., only Bitcoin or Ethereum, only American issued cryptocurrencies, or only NFTs), it will still count toward a "Yes" resolution for this market. If the bill is signed into law, or executive action is instituted before the resolution date, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of when it takes effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 3,448 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Growling-Dial | No | 3,448 | $3.4K |
| Gaseous-Percentage | No | 2,328 | $2.3K |
| Cuddly-Seizure | Yes | 1,040 | $29 |
| Witty-Cap | Yes | 1,002 | $28 |
| 0x6b148682… | Yes | 670 | $18 |
| Moist-Entity | No | 493 | $480 |
| Offbeat-Stot | Yes | 417 | $11 |
| Swift-Lightning | No | 400 | $389 |
| Gaseous-Rage | Yes | 293 | $8 |
| Pastel-Angle | Yes | 276 | $8 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 06:45 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 2.5% | $2 |
| Oct 13, 01:05 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 2.4% | $1 |
| Oct 13, 07:16 AM ET | No | SELL | 97.7% | $3 |
| Oct 10, 12:34 PM ET | No | SELL | 97.7% | $3 |
| Oct 09, 05:00 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 1.9% | $0 |
| Oct 09, 04:32 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 1.9% | $0 |
| Oct 06, 04:12 PM ET | No | SELL | 97.6% | $5 |
| Oct 06, 04:03 PM ET | No | BUY | 98.3% | $5 |
| Oct 05, 10:18 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 1.7% | $0 |
| Oct 03, 07:11 PM ET | No | SELL | 97.3% | $52 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is December 31, 2026 at 2.8%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/trump-eliminates-capital-gains-tax-on-crypto-in-2025?via=bro
$118.2K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end January 01, 2027, 12:00 AM ET.
December 31, 2026, priced at 2.8% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
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