Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?

As of October 24, 2026, 08:16 PM ET, Polymarket traders price December 31, 2026 at 49.0% in Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...? — $14.9K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $0.
Leading outcome
December 31, 2026
49%
A 49.0% price implies roughly a 49-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H −0.5 pts30D +5.5 pts
Bid
16¢
Ask
82¢
Spread
66¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since December 18, 2025: 28.5% – 96.0% · Opened at 65.5%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?
Category
Politics, Trump, Immigration, Trump Presidency, Immigration/Border
Scheduled end
December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$14.9K
Volume (24h)
$0
Liquidity
$553
Markets
1
Leading outcome
December 31, 2026 — 49.0%
Resolution source
https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/12/restricting-and-limiting-the-entry-of-foreign-nationals-to-protect-the-security-of-the-united-states/

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, December 31, 2026, is priced at 49.0%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -0.5 pts; past month: +5.5 pts.

Since December 18, 2025, December 31, 2026 has traded between 28.5% and 96.0%. It opened at 65.5% and last traded at 48.0%.

DayClose
Oct 16, 202651.0%
Oct 18, 202652.0%
Oct 19, 202653.0%
Oct 20, 202651.5%
Oct 22, 202653.0%
Oct 23, 202645.0%
Oct 24, 202648.0%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

December 31, 2026 is favored at 49.0%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
December 31, 202649¢49.0%-0.5 pts$1.1K7.4%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 66¢ (bid 16¢ / ask 82¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$14.9K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

On December 16, 2025, President Donald Trump issued a proclamation titled “Restricting and Limiting the Entry of Foreign Nationals to Protect the Security of the United States”, which updated and expanded partial and full suspensions of entry into the U.S. for nationals of various countries (see: https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/12/restricting-and-limiting-the-entry-of-foreign-nationals-to-protect-the-security-of-the-united-states/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump issues any executive order, signs any bill into law, or if the Trump administration otherwise takes any formal action which is aimed at fully or partially suspending entry into the U.S. for nationals of any specific, additional country between market issuance and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying action must be aimed at restricting or banning entry into the United States for nationals of a particular country or countries. Blanket actions to restrict entry for individuals holding certain visa classes, or other generalized entry restrictions, which do not target a specific country or countries, will not count. Additional country refers to any country not subject to a full or partial suspension of entry as of the December 16 proclamation. … (condensed)

Resolution source: https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/12/restricting-and-limiting-the-entry-of-foreign-nationals-to-protect-the-security-of-the-united-states/

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 75 shares of Yes.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Sociable-RoosterYes75$37
Required-SaffronNo46$23
Evil-RowYes27$13
Oval-DozenNo22$11
Belated-GlueNo18$9
Grizzled-BirthdayNo14$7
Visible-EleventhYes10$5
Puzzling-HaversackYes9$4
Different-WindshieldNo9$5
Charming-GrapeNo8$4

What are the latest trades?

Tape
SELL No — $26 at 66.0%BUY Yes — $16 at 77.0%SELL Yes — $12 at 56.0%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 17, 05:52 AM ETNoSELL12.0%$1
Aug 21, 07:06 PM ETNoSELL53.0%$2
Aug 18, 07:14 PM ETYesBUY34.0%$2
Aug 17, 08:23 PM ETNoSELL66.0%$7
Aug 15, 07:28 PM ETNoSELL66.0%$26
Aug 15, 07:22 PM ETNoBUY71.0%$5
Aug 15, 03:13 AM ETNoBUY53.0%$3
Aug 14, 05:58 PM ETNoSELL39.0%$5
Aug 12, 07:51 PM ETYesBUY47.0%$2
Aug 12, 04:34 PM ETNoBUY38.3%$9

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...??

As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is December 31, 2026 at 49.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/trump-fully-suspends-entry-to-the-us-for-more-countries-by?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...??

$14.9K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.

When does Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...? end?

The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/12/restricting-and-limiting-the-entry-of-foreign-nationals-to-protect-the-security-of-the-united-states/.

What is the most likely outcome of Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?, according to Polymarket traders?

December 31, 2026, priced at 49.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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