As of October 24, 2026, 08:16 PM ET, Polymarket traders price December 31, 2026 at 49.0% in Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...? — $14.9K traded so far.
The leading outcome, December 31, 2026, is priced at 49.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -0.5 pts; past month: +5.5 pts.
Since December 18, 2025, December 31, 2026 has traded between 28.5% and 96.0%. It opened at 65.5% and last traded at 48.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 51.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 52.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 53.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 51.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 53.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 45.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 48.0% |
December 31, 2026 is favored at 49.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2026 | 49¢ | 49.0% | -0.5 pts | $1.1K | 7.4% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 66¢ (bid 16¢ / ask 82¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$14.9K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
On December 16, 2025, President Donald Trump issued a proclamation titled “Restricting and Limiting the Entry of Foreign Nationals to Protect the Security of the United States”, which updated and expanded partial and full suspensions of entry into the U.S. for nationals of various countries (see: https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/12/restricting-and-limiting-the-entry-of-foreign-nationals-to-protect-the-security-of-the-united-states/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump issues any executive order, signs any bill into law, or if the Trump administration otherwise takes any formal action which is aimed at fully or partially suspending entry into the U.S. for nationals of any specific, additional country between market issuance and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying action must be aimed at restricting or banning entry into the United States for nationals of a particular country or countries. Blanket actions to restrict entry for individuals holding certain visa classes, or other generalized entry restrictions, which do not target a specific country or countries, will not count. Additional country refers to any country not subject to a full or partial suspension of entry as of the December 16 proclamation. … (condensed)
Resolution source: https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/12/restricting-and-limiting-the-entry-of-foreign-nationals-to-protect-the-security-of-the-united-states/
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 75 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sociable-Rooster | Yes | 75 | $37 |
| Required-Saffron | No | 46 | $23 |
| Evil-Row | Yes | 27 | $13 |
| Oval-Dozen | No | 22 | $11 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 18 | $9 |
| Grizzled-Birthday | No | 14 | $7 |
| Visible-Eleventh | Yes | 10 | $5 |
| Puzzling-Haversack | Yes | 9 | $4 |
| Different-Windshield | No | 9 | $5 |
| Charming-Grape | No | 8 | $4 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 05:52 AM ET | No | SELL | 12.0% | $1 |
| Aug 21, 07:06 PM ET | No | SELL | 53.0% | $2 |
| Aug 18, 07:14 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 34.0% | $2 |
| Aug 17, 08:23 PM ET | No | SELL | 66.0% | $7 |
| Aug 15, 07:28 PM ET | No | SELL | 66.0% | $26 |
| Aug 15, 07:22 PM ET | No | BUY | 71.0% | $5 |
| Aug 15, 03:13 AM ET | No | BUY | 53.0% | $3 |
| Aug 14, 05:58 PM ET | No | SELL | 39.0% | $5 |
| Aug 12, 07:51 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 47.0% | $2 |
| Aug 12, 04:34 PM ET | No | BUY | 38.3% | $9 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is December 31, 2026 at 49.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/trump-fully-suspends-entry-to-the-us-for-more-countries-by?via=bro
$14.9K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/12/restricting-and-limiting-the-entry-of-foreign-nationals-to-protect-the-security-of-the-united-states/.
December 31, 2026, priced at 49.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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