As of October 24, 2026, 08:49 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 96.2% in Trump invokes war powers in Yemen by October 31? — $5.3K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 96.2%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -0.5 pts; past week: -0.1 pts.
Since October 01, 2026, No has traded between 61.8% and 97.0%. It opened at 93.8% and last traded at 95.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 93.3% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 93.1% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 97.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 96.4% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 95.8% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 95.7% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 95.5% |
No is favored at 96.2%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 96¢ | 96.2% | +0.5 pts | $5.3K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 4¢ | 3.8% | -0.5 pts | $5.3K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 4¢ (bid 2¢ / ask 6¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$5.3K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or the Trump Administration submits a 48-hour report consistent with the War Powers Resolution regarding the introduction of U.S. armed forces into hostilities or imminent hostilities in Yemen or against the Houthis between the date of market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The market will resolve based on the date of the report, not the date of publication. This market will remain open for 14 days after the specified date (ET) to allow for a qualifying report to be published. If no such report is published by that time, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution sources for this market will be the White House, the Congressional Record, and the NYU Law War Powers Resolution Reporting Project; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,120 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Circular-Sandpaper-Larder | No | 1,120 | $1.1K |
| Failing-Dimension | Yes | 752 | $29 |
| Shady-Dog | Yes | 641 | $24 |
| Stained-Handrail | No | 500 | $481 |
| Innocent-Wrap | No | 371 | $357 |
| Valid-Baobab | Yes | 244 | $9 |
| NoSteinNoGate | Yes | 205 | $8 |
| Straight-Wrinkle | Yes | 159 | $6 |
| Outrageous-Afterlife | No | 150 | $144 |
| True-Parallelogram | No | 141 | $135 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 08:56 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 6.2% | $4 |
| Oct 22, 10:32 AM ET | No | BUY | 97.6% | $1 |
| Oct 19, 03:37 AM ET | No | SELL | 95.0% | $10 |
| Oct 19, 02:50 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 4.0% | $0 |
| Oct 16, 08:57 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 2.4% | $0 |
| Oct 16, 08:57 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 2.4% | $1 |
| Oct 16, 08:47 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 2.6% | $2 |
| Oct 16, 08:07 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 2.7% | $0 |
| Oct 16, 08:07 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 3.9% | $2 |
| Oct 16, 08:03 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 5.8% | $1 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 96.2%. Next is Yes at 3.8%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/trump-invokes-war-powers-in-yemen-by-october-31?via=bro
$5.3K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 96.2% as of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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