As of October 24, 2026, 08:16 PM ET, Polymarket traders price October 31 at 4.0% in Trump meets with Mark Carney by...? — $14.4K traded so far.
The leading outcome, October 31, is priced at 4.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.5 pts; past week: -0.9 pts; past month: -60.0 pts.
Since August 27, 2026, October 31 has traded between 3.4% and 82.0%. It opened at 43.0% and last traded at 4.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 7.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 4.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 4.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 4.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 3.4% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 4.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 4.0% |
October 31 is favored at 4.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 31 | 4¢ | 4.0% | +0.5 pts | $1.6K | 11.3% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 3¢ / ask 5¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$14.4K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump meets with Mark Carney between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Trump and Carney are present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 322 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Barren-Expectancy | No | 322 | $309 |
| Kindhearted-Mixer | Yes | 260 | $11 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 239 | $10 |
| Broken-Hermit | No | 147 | $141 |
| Angry-Jaw | No | 105 | $101 |
| Evil-Row | No | 39 | $38 |
| Energetic-Gasp | Yes | 32 | $1 |
| Rowdy-Tenement | Yes | 25 | $1 |
| Cool-Pattypan | Yes | 25 | $1 |
| Quarterly-Compress | No | 21 | $20 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 01:12 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 4.0% | $0 |
| Oct 20, 01:12 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 5.0% | $0 |
| Oct 20, 01:12 AM ET | No | SELL | 80.0% | $0 |
| Oct 20, 01:12 AM ET | No | BUY | 93.9% | $33 |
| Oct 20, 01:09 AM ET | No | SELL | 94.0% | $5 |
| Oct 17, 06:09 PM ET | No | BUY | 94.0% | $23 |
| Oct 16, 07:45 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 5.0% | $1 |
| Oct 16, 06:23 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 9.0% | $2 |
| Oct 15, 05:48 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 9.0% | $1 |
| Oct 15, 05:48 PM ET | No | BUY | 91.0% | $12 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is October 31 at 4.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/trump-meets-with-mark-carney-byptptpt?via=bro
$14.4K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
October 31, priced at 4.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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