Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Trump meets with Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei by...?

As of October 24, 2026, 07:48 PM ET, Polymarket traders price December 31 at 2.4% in Trump meets with Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei by...? — $201.2K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $80.
Leading outcome
December 31
2%
A 2.4% price implies roughly a 2-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H +0.1 pts7D +0.1 pts30D +0.1 pts
Bid
2¢
Ask
3¢
Spread
1¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since June 04, 2026: 1.8% – 7.5% · Opened at 7.0%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Trump meets with Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei by...?
Category
Trump, Middle East, Iran, Geopolitics, Politics, Iran Ceasefire, ayatollah
Scheduled end
December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$201.2K
Volume (24h)
$80
Liquidity
$56.0K
Markets
1
Leading outcome
December 31 — 2.4%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, December 31, is priced at 2.4%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.1 pts; past week: +0.1 pts; past month: +0.1 pts.

Since June 04, 2026, December 31 has traded between 1.8% and 7.5%. It opened at 7.0% and last traded at 2.2%.

DayClose
Oct 12, 20262.4%
Oct 13, 20262.4%
Oct 15, 20262.1%
Oct 16, 20262.3%
Oct 18, 20262.2%
Oct 19, 20262.2%
Oct 20, 20262.2%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

December 31 is favored at 2.4%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
December 312¢2.4%+0.1 pts$65.4K32.5%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 2¢ / ask 3¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$201.2K has been traded on this event in total, $80 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both specified individuals are present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 4,462 shares of Yes.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Verifiable-RomanceYes4,462$105
Punctual-SandNo3,801$3.7K
Peppery-Strawman-RhubarbYes2,443$57
Verifiable-InteriorNo1,895$1.9K
Fickle-EardrumNo1,000$976
Common-NitrogenNo980$957
Arctic-KickoffNo965$942
Peppery-CapitalNo616$601
Straight-HuntingYes400$9
Snappy-RoosterYes344$8

What are the latest trades?

Tape
SELL No — $1.6K at 97.2%SELL No — $1.2K at 98.0%SELL No — $188 at 96.6%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 07:39 AM ETYesBUY2.8%$1
Oct 24, 07:33 AM ETYesBUY2.8%$1
Oct 21, 09:14 PM ETYesSELL1.8%$1
Oct 21, 08:59 PM ETYesBUY2.7%$6
Oct 16, 03:51 PM ETNoSELL97.5%$49
Oct 14, 12:19 AM ETNoSELL97.1%$1
Oct 07, 11:10 AM ETYesSELL2.0%$8
Oct 02, 01:21 PM ETYesSELL2.4%$0
Sep 23, 05:16 PM ETNoSELL96.8%$2
Sep 22, 02:40 AM ETNoBUY98.2%$40

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Trump meets with Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei by...??

As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is December 31 at 2.4%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/trump-meets-with-mojtaba-khamenei-by?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Trump meets with Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei by...??

$201.2K in total volume, with $80 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.

When does Trump meets with Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei by...? end?

The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of Trump meets with Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei by...?, according to Polymarket traders?

December 31, priced at 2.4% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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