As of October 24, 2026, 08:20 PM ET, Polymarket traders price December 31 at 52.0% in Trump meets with Netanyahu by...? — $8.5K traded so far.
The leading outcome, December 31, is priced at 52.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -1.5 pts; past week: -2.0 pts; past month: -10.5 pts.
Since September 17, 2026, December 31 has traded between 49.5% and 67.5%. It opened at 57.0% and last traded at 53.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 54.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 54.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 51.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 52.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 53.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 53.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 53.0% |
December 31 is favored at 52.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 52¢ | 52.0% | -1.5 pts | $62 | 0.7% |
| October 31 | 25¢ | 24.6% | -17.3 pts | $3.4K | 39.5% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 84¢ (bid 10¢ / ask 94¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$8.5K has been traded on this event in total, $128 of it in the last 24 hours, across 2 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump meets with Benjamin Netanyahu between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Trump and Netanyahu are present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 62 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Useless-Faith | Yes | 62 | $32 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 62 | $30 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 11:15 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 4.2% | $2 |
| Oct 23, 09:43 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 4.3% | $4 |
| Oct 22, 11:02 PM ET | No | SELL | 96.0% | $96 |
| Oct 22, 08:38 PM ET | No | SELL | 97.5% | $98 |
| Oct 22, 08:37 PM ET | No | SELL | 97.5% | $98 |
| Oct 22, 08:37 PM ET | No | SELL | 97.5% | $98 |
| Oct 22, 08:35 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 2.5% | $4 |
| Oct 22, 08:34 PM ET | No | SELL | 97.4% | $68 |
| Oct 22, 08:32 PM ET | No | SELL | 97.4% | $62 |
| Oct 22, 08:32 PM ET | No | SELL | 97.4% | $97 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is December 31 at 52.0%. Next is October 31 at 24.6%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/trump-meets-with-netanyahu-by-20260917?via=bro
$8.5K in total volume, with $128 traded in the last 24 hours across 2 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
December 31, priced at 52.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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