As of October 24, 2026, 07:46 PM ET, Polymarket traders price December 31 at 83.5% in Trump meets with Putin by...? — $438.2K traded so far.
The leading outcome, December 31, is priced at 83.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -0.5 pts; past week: +2.0 pts; past month: +15.5 pts.
Since May 26, 2026, December 31 has traded between 26.0% and 85.5%. It opened at 57.5% and last traded at 84.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 77.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 85.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 85.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 84.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 84.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 84.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 84.0% |
December 31 is favored at 83.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 84¢ | 83.5% | -0.5 pts | $237.2K | 54.1% |
| November 30 | 79¢ | 79.0% | -2.5 pts | $24.1K | 5.5% |
| October 31 | 1¢ | 0.8% | — | $623 | 0.1% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 82¢ / ask 85¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$438.2K has been traded on this event in total, $581 of it in the last 24 hours, across 3 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump meets with Vladimir Putin between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Trump and Putin are present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 13,207 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Short-Term-Criminal | Yes | 13,207 | $11.0K |
| Ideal-Arch | Yes | 12,085 | $10.1K |
| Sparse-Cookie | Yes | 11,693 | $9.8K |
| Young-Postage | No | 8,838 | $1.5K |
| Vapid-Workshop | No | 7,615 | $1.3K |
| Finished-Wind | No | 7,507 | $1.2K |
| Itchy-Consequence | No | 5,046 | $833 |
| Fearless-Aggression | Yes | 4,999 | $4.2K |
| Moral-Lab | No | 4,457 | $735 |
| Tall-Pike | No | 4,108 | $678 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 05:41 PM ET | No | BUY | 17.0% | $13 |
| Oct 24, 05:24 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 83.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 03:17 PM ET | No | BUY | 17.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 11:57 AM ET | No | BUY | 17.0% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 10:28 AM ET | No | BUY | 17.0% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 10:25 AM ET | No | BUY | 17.0% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 10:25 AM ET | No | BUY | 17.0% | $13 |
| Oct 24, 08:43 AM ET | No | BUY | 17.0% | $10 |
| Oct 24, 05:53 AM ET | No | BUY | 22.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 05:53 AM ET | No | BUY | 19.0% | $5 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is December 31 at 83.5%. Next is November 30 at 79.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/trump-meets-with-putin-by?via=bro
$438.2K in total volume, with $581 traded in the last 24 hours across 3 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
December 31, priced at 83.5% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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