As of October 24, 2026, 08:01 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 97.0% in Trump on $250 bill this year? — $39.1K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 97.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: -0.4 pts; past month: +0.4 pts.
Since May 28, 2026, No has traded between 90.5% and 97.8%. It opened at 90.5% and last traded at 97.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 96.7% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 96.6% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 96.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 96.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 97.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 97.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 97.0% |
No is favored at 97.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 97¢ | 97.0% | — | $39.1K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 3¢ | 2.9% | — | $39.1K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 2¢ / ask 4¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$39.1K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a $250 bill featuring an image or portrait of Donald Trump is officially issued by the U.S. federal government by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Only a $250 bill will qualify. Coins, or other denominations of paper currency will not count. A bill will be considered "officially issued" if the U.S. federal government makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. The announcement, proposal, design, or authorization of such a bill without the bill being issued will not count. A qualifying bill must be legal tender. Commemorative notes produced for a limited production run will qualify, provided they carry legal tender status. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 10,414 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vital-Browser | No | 10,414 | $10.1K |
| Dapper-Basis | Yes | 7,743 | $228 |
| Smoggy-Cover | Yes | 1,700 | $50 |
| Aching-Thermals | No | 500 | $485 |
| Tremendous-Divide | Yes | 449 | $13 |
| Arctic-Kickoff | No | 350 | $340 |
| Snappy-Rooster | Yes | 236 | $7 |
| Insubstantial-Bottle | Yes | 230 | $7 |
| Insignificant-Cornmeal | Yes | 210 | $6 |
| Proper-Background-Distortion | Yes | 200 | $6 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 05:11 PM ET | No | SELL | 97.0% | $645 |
| Oct 05, 07:38 AM ET | No | SELL | 97.5% | $11 |
| Oct 01, 02:43 AM ET | No | BUY | 97.5% | $20 |
| Sep 30, 04:49 PM ET | No | BUY | 97.5% | $178 |
| Sep 30, 08:47 AM ET | No | BUY | 97.5% | $98 |
| Sep 30, 08:46 AM ET | No | BUY | 97.5% | $98 |
| Sep 30, 08:45 AM ET | No | BUY | 97.5% | $5.8K |
| Sep 23, 04:35 PM ET | No | BUY | 97.5% | $5 |
| Sep 22, 07:27 PM ET | No | BUY | 97.5% | $126 |
| Sep 22, 01:56 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 2.5% | $0 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 97.0%. Next is Yes at 2.9%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/trump-on-250-bill-this-year?via=bro
$39.1K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 97.0% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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