As of October 24, 2026, 07:56 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 98.3% in Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027? — $59.9K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 98.3%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -0.1 pts; past week: -1.1 pts; past month: -1.1 pts.
Since November 05, 2025, No has traded between 59.0% and 98.3%. It opened at 92.0% and last traded at 98.3%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 97.4% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 97.2% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 97.4% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 98.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 98.2% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 98.2% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 98.3% |
No is favored at 98.3%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 98¢ | 98.3% | +0.1 pts | $59.9K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 2¢ | 1.7% | -0.1 pts | $59.9K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 1¢ / ask 2¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$59.9K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is formally removed from the office of the President of the United States by means of the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment to the US Constitution by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the Vice President becomes Acting President via the process outlined in Section 3 of the 25th Amendment, it will not effect the resolution of this market. Only Trump’s removal from office via the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. If Trump ceases to be POTUS before this market's expiration date for any other reason, this market may immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 6,176 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sleepy-Council | No | 6,176 | $6.1K |
| Thoughtful-Understatement | No | 2,810 | $2.8K |
| Mediocre-Paradise | No | 2,696 | $2.7K |
| Limping-Consulate-Farmland | Yes | 2,239 | $38 |
| Alarmed-Oyster | Yes | 2,074 | $35 |
| 0x8931aa50… | No | 1,396 | $1.4K |
| Discrete-Wrecker | Yes | 1,383 | $24 |
| Busy-Woodland | Yes | 1,070 | $18 |
| Willing-Rainy | Yes | 1,010 | $17 |
| Weary-Vengeance | Yes | 891 | $15 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 06:54 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 2.0% | $10 |
| Oct 22, 09:26 AM ET | No | SELL | 98.2% | $591 |
| Oct 22, 08:41 AM ET | No | BUY | 98.4% | $98 |
| Oct 22, 08:41 AM ET | No | BUY | 98.4% | $197 |
| Oct 22, 08:38 AM ET | No | BUY | 98.4% | $295 |
| Oct 21, 03:55 PM ET | No | BUY | 98.3% | $10 |
| Oct 21, 09:28 AM ET | No | BUY | 98.2% | $5 |
| Oct 20, 04:14 PM ET | No | SELL | 98.0% | $98 |
| Oct 20, 10:59 AM ET | No | SELL | 97.9% | $478 |
| Oct 20, 10:58 AM ET | No | SELL | 98.2% | $469 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 98.3%. Next is Yes at 1.7%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/trump-removed-via-25th-amendment-before-2027?via=bro
$59.9K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 98.3% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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