As of October 24, 2026, 07:47 PM ET, Polymarket traders price December 31 at 3.9% in Trump renames ICE to NICE by...? — $242.6K traded so far.
The leading outcome, December 31, is priced at 3.9%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -1.8 pts; past week: -0.7 pts; past month: -1.7 pts.
Since May 12, 2026, December 31 has traded between 4.0% and 43.0%. It opened at 24.0% and last traded at 5.6%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 5.0% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 5.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 5.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 5.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 5.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 4.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 5.6% |
December 31 is favored at 3.9%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 4¢ | 3.9% | -1.8 pts | $10.4K | 4.3% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 3¢ / ask 5¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$242.6K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
On April 27, 2026, White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt posted on X that President Donald J. Trump endorsed renaming Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) to “NICE.” You can read more about that here: https://x.com/presssec/status/2048746343275938173?s=46. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation or performs any executive action that changes the name of Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) to “NICE” or to any name that is officially abbreviated as “NICE” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any executive action or legislation that renames Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) to “NICE” or to any name that is officially abbreviated as “NICE” will qualify, regardless of if/when the change goes into effect or if the action is delayed, suspended, or subsequently blocked by judicial or other actions. This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible information from major news outlets or government statements will also be used.
Resolution source: https://x.com/presssec/status/2048746343275938173?s=46
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 2,006 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Verifiable-Obstacle | No | 2,006 | $1.9K |
| Rex416 | Yes | 622 | $24 |
| Amused-Columnist | Yes | 573 | $22 |
| Nautical-Placement | Yes | 433 | $17 |
| Essential-Diarist | Yes | 355 | $14 |
| Cheerful-Ephemera | No | 339 | $326 |
| Brown-Lashes | No | 291 | $280 |
| Straight-Hunting | Yes | 225 | $9 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 120 | $5 |
| Glaring-Farrow | No | 108 | $104 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 07:37 PM ET | No | SELL | 95.1% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 07:37 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 2.8% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 07:29 PM ET | No | SELL | 95.1% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 07:29 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 2.8% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 07:28 PM ET | No | BUY | 95.0% | $38 |
| Oct 24, 07:28 PM ET | No | BUY | 97.3% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 07:28 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 4.9% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 07:28 PM ET | No | BUY | 96.5% | $39 |
| Oct 24, 07:28 PM ET | No | BUY | 95.5% | $59 |
| Oct 24, 07:27 PM ET | No | BUY | 95.0% | $38 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is December 31 at 3.9%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/trump-renames-ice-to-nice-by-june-30?via=bro
$242.6K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://x.com/presssec/status/2048746343275938173?s=46.
December 31, priced at 3.9% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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