As of October 24, 2026, 07:48 PM ET, Polymarket traders price December 31 at 5.2% in Trump renames New Mexico to New America by...? — $175.7K traded so far.
The leading outcome, December 31, is priced at 5.2%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -4.8 pts; past week: +3.5 pts; past month: +0.8 pts.
Since September 07, 2026, December 31 has traded between 1.7% and 10.5%. It opened at 10.5% and last traded at 10.1%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 1.8% |
| Oct 17, 2026 | 1.8% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 1.8% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 10.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 6.8% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 4.6% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 10.1% |
December 31 is favored at 5.2%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 5¢ | 5.2% | -4.8 pts | $80.9K | 46.1% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 4¢ / ask 6¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$175.7K has been traded on this event in total, $4.1K of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump issues any executive order, presidential memorandum, or proclamation, signs any bill into law, or otherwise formally directs the federal government to rename New Mexico to "New America" or any other name including "America" by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A formal Trump administration directive to rename New Mexico, including through the U.S. Board on Geographic Names, will qualify. For the purposes of this market, "rename" includes directing the federal government to use the new name when referring to the state, regardless of whether the state's legal name is changed. Statements, social media posts, or expressions of support for renaming New Mexico will not qualify unless accompanied by a qualifying formal action or directive. This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 7,022 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Witty-Conviction | No | 7,022 | $6.7K |
| Quarrelsome-Filth | Yes | 4,159 | $218 |
| Essential-Diarist | Yes | 2,156 | $113 |
| Glorious-Kinase | No | 1,876 | $1.8K |
| Nonstop-Badger | Yes | 1,461 | $77 |
| Grown-Flanker | Yes | 1,192 | $63 |
| Flat-Badger | No | 1,100 | $1.0K |
| Careful-Bunch | No | 1,000 | $948 |
| Flamboyant-Warming | Yes | 829 | $43 |
| Impartial-Sailboat | No | 659 | $624 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 03:25 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 5.2% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 03:25 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 6.3% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 03:25 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 6.2% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 03:24 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 5.6% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 03:24 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 5.7% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 03:24 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 5.7% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 03:24 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 7.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 03:24 PM ET | No | BUY | 92.7% | $46 |
| Oct 24, 03:24 PM ET | No | BUY | 92.7% | $46 |
| Oct 24, 03:24 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 7.9% | $29 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is December 31 at 5.2%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/trump-renames-new-mexico-to-new-america-byptptpt?via=bro
$175.7K in total volume, with $4.1K traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
December 31, priced at 5.2% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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