As of October 24, 2026, 09:11 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 89.5% in Trump Space Academy begins training by June 30, 2027? — $938 traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 89.5%.
Since September 01, 2026, No has traded between 64.5% and 89.5%. It opened at 67.0% and last traded at 89.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 89.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 89.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 89.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 89.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 89.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 89.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 89.5% |
No is favored at 89.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 90¢ | 89.5% | — | $938 | 100.0% |
| Yes | 10¢ | 10.5% | — | $938 | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 10¢ / ask 11¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$938 has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States Space Academy begins training its inaugural class of students at any point between market creation and June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The "United States Space Academy" refers to the NASA-led federal service academy directed to be established under the executive order "Establishing the United States Space Academy," signed on August 28, 2026. "Begins training" means the Academy formally commences academic instruction or training for its first enrolled class of students or cadets. The formation of the Presidential Commission on the United States Space Academy, the submission of the Commission's report, the enactment of enabling legislation, the selection of a location, or the construction or opening of facilities will not qualify as the commencement of training. The admission or enrollment of students without instruction having commenced also will not qualify. Actual commencement of instruction for the first class by June 30, 2027 is required for this market to resolve to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from NASA and the White House; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 362 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wan-Gymnastics | No | 362 | $324 |
| Euphoric-Flan | Yes | 282 | $30 |
| Impish-Disparity | Yes | 35 | $4 |
| Knotty-Exception | Yes | 30 | $3 |
| Plump-Implementation | Yes | 20 | $2 |
| Arctic-Kickoff | No | 6 | $6 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 04:08 PM ET | No | BUY | 90.0% | $6 |
| Oct 10, 10:21 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 10.0% | $8 |
| Oct 08, 05:09 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 10.0% | $5 |
| Sep 18, 04:57 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 10.0% | $1 |
| Sep 10, 06:12 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 10.0% | $2 |
| Sep 08, 11:38 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 10.0% | $4 |
| Sep 08, 04:33 PM ET | No | SELL | 89.0% | $44 |
| Sep 07, 09:13 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 5.0% | $0 |
| Sep 07, 08:53 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 6.0% | $3 |
| Sep 07, 08:28 AM ET | No | SELL | 91.0% | $54 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 89.5%. Next is Yes at 10.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/trump-space-academy-begins-training-by-june-30-2027?via=bro
$938 in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 89.5% as of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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