Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Turek flips Hinson for Iowa Senate by November 2?

As of October 24, 2026, 06:28 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 60.0% in Turek flips Hinson for Iowa Senate by November 2? — $13.7K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $1.7K.
Leading outcome
No
60%
A 60.0% price implies roughly a 60-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H −2.0 pts7D +16.5 pts
No60.0%
Yes40.0%
Bid
39¢
Ask
41¢
Spread
2¢
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Range since October 16, 2026: 58.0% – 84.5% · Opened at 76.5%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Turek flips Hinson for Iowa Senate by November 2?
Category
Midterms, Politics, Elections, Derivatives, US Election, Iowa Midterm, United States
Scheduled end
November 02, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$13.7K
Volume (24h)
$1.7K
Liquidity
$35.3K
Markets
1
Leading outcome
No — 60.0%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, No, is priced at 60.0%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -2.0 pts; past week: +16.5 pts.

Since October 16, 2026, No has traded between 58.0% and 84.5%. It opened at 76.5% and last traded at 60.0%.

DayClose
Oct 16, 202676.5%
Oct 18, 202676.5%
Oct 19, 202684.0%
Oct 20, 202684.5%
Oct 22, 202659.5%
Oct 23, 202658.0%
Oct 24, 202660.0%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

No is favored at 60.0%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
No60¢60.0%+2.0 pts$13.7K100.0%
Yes40¢40.0%-2.0 pts$13.7K100.0%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 39¢ / ask 41¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$13.7K has been traded on this event in total, $1.7K of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end November 02, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Josh Turek (D)'s hourly odds value is higher than Ashley Hinson (R)'s hourly odds value in the "Iowa Senate Election 2026" listing on PredictionMarketOdds.com for 4 consecutive hourly odds values, all published for a datapoint between market creation and November 3, 2026, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An hourly odds value is the value in the "Odds of Happening" column that PredictionMarketOdds.com publishes for an option for a one-hour "Time Window (ET)", as shown on the listing page and in the "Odds History" graph. Hourly odds values are compared at the precision published by PredictionMarketOdds.com (one tenth of a percent). An hour in which the two values are equal does not count as Josh Turek (D) being higher and ends any run of consecutive hourly odds values. Hours for which PredictionMarketOdds.com publishes no hourly odds value for either option (shown as "NO_PRINT") will be disregarded and will neither count toward nor end a run of consecutive hourly odds values. If PredictionMarketOdds.com permanently ceases publishing hourly odds values for Josh Turek (D) or Ashley Hinson (R) in the "Iowa Senate Election 2026" listing before November 3, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, including by removing either option from the listing, this market will resolve based on the hourly odds values published up to that point. … (condensed)

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,207 shares of Yes.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Near-FamiliarYes1,207$483
Unselfish-Mineral-SundayNo500$300
Sympathetic-PreventionNo500$300
Hideous-RacerNo400$240
Reliable-MakeoverYes367$147
Angelic-CrawYes360$144
Attractive-StaminaNo335$201
Unwilling-SuperiorityYes248$99
Belated-GlueYes238$95
Small-Fellow-MandolinNo152$92

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY No — $302 at 60.4%BUY No — $210 at 60.4%SELL Yes — $111 at 42.4%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 04:32 PM ETYesSELL39.0%$4
Oct 24, 02:40 PM ETYesSELL40.0%$2
Oct 24, 01:35 PM ETYesSELL41.0%$47
Oct 24, 01:35 PM ETNoSELL55.0%$0
Oct 24, 01:35 PM ETYesSELL41.0%$46
Oct 24, 01:35 PM ETNoBUY59.0%$29
Oct 24, 01:35 PM ETNoBUY58.0%$29
Oct 24, 01:35 PM ETYesSELL42.0%$21
Oct 24, 01:35 PM ETNoBUY58.0%$65
Oct 24, 01:35 PM ETNoBUY58.0%$29

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Turek flips Hinson for Iowa Senate by November 2??

As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 60.0%. Next is Yes at 40.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/turek-flips-hinson-for-iowa-senate-by-november-2?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Turek flips Hinson for Iowa Senate by November 2??

$13.7K in total volume, with $1.7K traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.

When does Turek flips Hinson for Iowa Senate by November 2? end?

The market is scheduled to end November 02, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of Turek flips Hinson for Iowa Senate by November 2?, according to Polymarket traders?

No, priced at 60.0% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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