As of October 24, 2026, 08:21 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 81.5% in Turkish Constitutional Referendum announced in 2026? — $7.1K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 81.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -3.0 pts; past week: +5.0 pts; past month: +8.0 pts.
Since March 16, 2026, No has traded between 45.0% and 92.0%. It opened at 74.5% and last traded at 78.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | 83.5% |
| Oct 15, 2026 | 86.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 84.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 82.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 84.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 85.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 78.5% |
No is favored at 81.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 82¢ | 81.5% | +3.0 pts | $7.1K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 18¢ | 18.5% | -3.0 pts | $7.1K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 23¢ (bid 7¢ / ask 30¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$7.1K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a constitutional referendum in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Constitutional referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey on whether to approve an amendment, or multiple amendments, to the Turkish Constitution. Officially announced refers to any announcement of a specific date for the referendum, or a definitive announcement that a referendum will be held (e.g. after a constitutional amendment has passed the parliament and been submitted to a referendum by the president). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 228 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plastic-Larder | No | 228 | $186 |
| Worthwhile-Equity | Yes | 127 | $24 |
| Experienced-Landform | No | 62 | $50 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 48 | $9 |
| Bouncy-Saving | Yes | 40 | $7 |
| General-Councilman | Yes | 38 | $7 |
| Total-Cinder | No | 30 | $25 |
| Virtual-Boxer | Yes | 29 | $5 |
| Mortified-Wetland | Yes | 18 | $3 |
| 0xd4a96bf9… | Yes | 17 | $3 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 03:34 PM ET | No | SELL | 93.0% | $82 |
| Oct 05, 01:44 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 6.0% | $1 |
| Sep 19, 05:09 PM ET | No | BUY | 84.5% | $10 |
| Sep 18, 05:27 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 17.0% | $3 |
| Sep 14, 01:08 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 20.0% | $10 |
| Sep 12, 12:05 PM ET | No | BUY | 75.7% | $27 |
| Sep 11, 12:04 PM ET | No | BUY | 75.0% | $5 |
| Sep 10, 06:55 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 23.0% | $4 |
| Sep 07, 09:49 AM ET | No | SELL | 76.0% | $1 |
| Sep 06, 12:05 PM ET | No | BUY | 70.0% | $21 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 81.5%. Next is Yes at 18.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/turkish-constitutional-referendum-announced-in-2026?via=bro
$7.1K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 81.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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