As of October 24, 2026, 07:46 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 94.4% in UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026? — $355.3K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 94.4%.
Price changes for the leading market — past month: +0.2 pts.
Since April 28, 2026, No has traded between 77.0% and 96.1%. It opened at 92.5% and last traded at 94.4%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 94.4% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 94.4% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 94.4% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 94.4% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 94.4% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 94.4% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 94.4% |
No is favored at 94.4%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 94¢ | 94.4% | — | $355.3K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 6¢ | 5.6% | — | $355.3K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 5¢ / ask 6¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$355.3K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 02:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if either the United Arab Emirates (UAE) or Qatar formally announces that they have suspended diplomatic relations with the other by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from either respective government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 3,954 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| All-Peasant-Drug | Yes | 3,954 | $221 |
| Ancient-Excursion | No | 2,730 | $2.6K |
| Dull-Universe | No | 1,261 | $1.2K |
| Capital-Sari | Yes | 1,126 | $63 |
| Bitter-Cartoon | No | 1,056 | $997 |
| Grounded-Depression | No | 500 | $472 |
| Grim-Garage | Yes | 408 | $23 |
| Assured-Seller | Yes | 400 | $22 |
| Ordinary-Dress | Yes | 300 | $17 |
| Compassionate-Kneejerk | No | 244 | $230 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 11:05 AM ET | No | BUY | 94.9% | $10 |
| Oct 12, 12:10 AM ET | No | BUY | 94.5% | $571 |
| Oct 11, 09:27 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 6.0% | $2 |
| Oct 08, 11:27 PM ET | No | BUY | 94.8% | $2 |
| Oct 08, 11:27 PM ET | No | BUY | 94.8% | $2 |
| Oct 08, 11:27 PM ET | No | BUY | 94.8% | $2 |
| Oct 08, 11:26 PM ET | No | BUY | 94.8% | $2 |
| Oct 08, 11:26 PM ET | No | BUY | 94.8% | $2 |
| Oct 08, 11:26 PM ET | No | BUY | 94.8% | $2 |
| Oct 08, 11:19 PM ET | No | BUY | 94.8% | $2 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 94.4%. Next is Yes at 5.6%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/uae-x-qatar-sever-diplomatic-relations-in-2026?via=bro
$355.3K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 02:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 94.4% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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