As of October 24, 2026, 08:20 PM ET, Polymarket traders price June 30, 2027 at 15.0% in UBS announces move out of Switzerland by...? — $8.4K traded so far.
The leading outcome, June 30, 2027, is priced at 15.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.5 pts; past week: +2.0 pts.
Since October 07, 2026, June 30, 2027 has traded between 10.0% and 32.0%. It opened at 32.0% and last traded at 15.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 15.0% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 12.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 15.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 13.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 13.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 14.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 15.0% |
June 30, 2027 is favored at 15.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 30, 2027 | 15¢ | 15.0% | +0.5 pts | $6.1K | 71.9% |
| December 31, 2026 | 12¢ | 12.0% | — | $2.4K | 28.1% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 4¢ (bid 13¢ / ask 17¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$8.4K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 2 markets.
This market is scheduled to end June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
On September 23, 2026, Switzerland's upper house of parliament voted to raise UBS's capital requirements for its foreign subsidiaries, prompting speculation that UBS could move its headquarters out of Switzerland. This market will resolve to "Yes" if UBS Group AG ("UBS"), or an official representative of UBS, publicly announces that UBS will move its global headquarters or legal domicile, or those of its successor ultimate parent company, out of Switzerland between market creation and 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The following will qualify: - An announcement from UBS or an official representative of UBS expressing that UBS has decided to move. - An announced agreed merger, acquisition, or adopted reorganization under which the ultimate parent company of UBS or of the combined group would be headquartered or domiciled outside Switzerland. The following will not qualify: - Statements that UBS is considering a move, could move, or would move depending on the outcome of Switzerland's capital requirements legislation. - An unsolicited acquisition proposal or preliminary transaction discussions. - Adding a headquarters outside Switzerland while keeping one in Switzerland, unless the legal domicile also moves out of Switzerland. - Moving only a subsidiary or business unit. … (condensed)
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 499 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 499 | $75 |
| Villainous-Crook | No | 400 | $340 |
| Steep-Visa | No | 129 | $109 |
| Sleepy-Council | No | 85 | $73 |
| Probable-Site | Yes | 85 | $13 |
| Writhing-Round | Yes | 80 | $12 |
| Straight-Wrinkle | No | 50 | $42 |
| Tidy-Evidence | No | 28 | $23 |
| Amazing-Antelope-Shakedown | No | 21 | $18 |
| Infatuated-Nun | Yes | 21 | $3 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 05:10 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 11.0% | $2 |
| Oct 22, 04:06 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 12.0% | $0 |
| Oct 22, 02:22 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 14.0% | $3 |
| Oct 22, 02:18 AM ET | No | SELL | 85.0% | $3 |
| Oct 22, 02:18 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 14.0% | $3 |
| Oct 22, 02:18 AM ET | No | SELL | 87.0% | $21 |
| Oct 21, 12:31 PM ET | No | BUY | 90.0% | $1 |
| Oct 18, 10:42 AM ET | No | SELL | 86.0% | $1 |
| Oct 18, 07:10 AM ET | No | BUY | 89.0% | $44 |
| Oct 18, 06:22 AM ET | No | SELL | 85.2% | $34 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is June 30, 2027 at 15.0%. Next is December 31, 2026 at 12.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/ubs-announces-move-out-of-switzerland-by?via=bro
$8.4K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 2 markets.
The market is scheduled to end June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
June 30, 2027, priced at 15.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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