Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

UBS announces move out of Switzerland by...?

As of October 24, 2026, 08:20 PM ET, Polymarket traders price June 30, 2027 at 15.0% in UBS announces move out of Switzerland by...? — $8.4K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $0.
Leading outcome
June 30, 2027
15%
A 15.0% price implies roughly a 15-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H +0.5 pts7D +2.0 pts
June 30, 202715.0%
December 31, 202612.0%
Bid
13¢
Ask
17¢
Spread
4¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since October 07, 2026: 10.0% – 32.0% · Opened at 32.0%

Market facts

Event data
Event
UBS announces move out of Switzerland by...?
Category
Banking, Finance, Business
Scheduled end
June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$8.4K
Volume (24h)
$0
Liquidity
$1.3K
Markets
2
Leading outcome
June 30, 2027 — 15.0%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, June 30, 2027, is priced at 15.0%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.5 pts; past week: +2.0 pts.

Since October 07, 2026, June 30, 2027 has traded between 10.0% and 32.0%. It opened at 32.0% and last traded at 15.0%.

DayClose
Oct 15, 202615.0%
Oct 16, 202612.0%
Oct 18, 202615.0%
Oct 19, 202613.0%
Oct 20, 202613.0%
Oct 23, 202614.5%
Oct 24, 202615.0%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

June 30, 2027 is favored at 15.0%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
June 30, 202715¢15.0%+0.5 pts$6.1K71.9%
December 31, 202612¢12.0%—$2.4K28.1%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 4¢ (bid 13¢ / ask 17¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$8.4K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 2 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

On September 23, 2026, Switzerland's upper house of parliament voted to raise UBS's capital requirements for its foreign subsidiaries, prompting speculation that UBS could move its headquarters out of Switzerland. This market will resolve to "Yes" if UBS Group AG ("UBS"), or an official representative of UBS, publicly announces that UBS will move its global headquarters or legal domicile, or those of its successor ultimate parent company, out of Switzerland between market creation and 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The following will qualify: - An announcement from UBS or an official representative of UBS expressing that UBS has decided to move. - An announced agreed merger, acquisition, or adopted reorganization under which the ultimate parent company of UBS or of the combined group would be headquartered or domiciled outside Switzerland. The following will not qualify: - Statements that UBS is considering a move, could move, or would move depending on the outcome of Switzerland's capital requirements legislation. - An unsolicited acquisition proposal or preliminary transaction discussions. - Adding a headquarters outside Switzerland while keeping one in Switzerland, unless the legal domicile also moves out of Switzerland. - Moving only a subsidiary or business unit. … (condensed)

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 499 shares of Yes.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Belated-GlueYes499$75
Villainous-CrookNo400$340
Steep-VisaNo129$109
Sleepy-CouncilNo85$73
Probable-SiteYes85$13
Writhing-RoundYes80$12
Straight-WrinkleNo50$42
Tidy-EvidenceNo28$23
Amazing-Antelope-ShakedownNo21$18
Infatuated-NunYes21$3

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY No — $401 at 80.6%SELL No — $260 at 87.0%BUY No — $138 at 80.1%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 22, 05:10 AM ETYesSELL11.0%$2
Oct 22, 04:06 AM ETYesSELL12.0%$0
Oct 22, 02:22 AM ETYesBUY14.0%$3
Oct 22, 02:18 AM ETNoSELL85.0%$3
Oct 22, 02:18 AM ETYesBUY14.0%$3
Oct 22, 02:18 AM ETNoSELL87.0%$21
Oct 21, 12:31 PM ETNoBUY90.0%$1
Oct 18, 10:42 AM ETNoSELL86.0%$1
Oct 18, 07:10 AM ETNoBUY89.0%$44
Oct 18, 06:22 AM ETNoSELL85.2%$34

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of UBS announces move out of Switzerland by...??

As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is June 30, 2027 at 15.0%. Next is December 31, 2026 at 12.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/ubs-announces-move-out-of-switzerland-by?via=bro

How much money has been traded on UBS announces move out of Switzerland by...??

$8.4K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 2 markets.

When does UBS announces move out of Switzerland by...? end?

The market is scheduled to end June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of UBS announces move out of Switzerland by...?, according to Polymarket traders?

June 30, 2027, priced at 15.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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