As of October 24, 2026, 07:56 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Paris Saint-Germain at 85.5% in UEFA Champions League: Team to advance to 2027 quarters — $64.2K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Paris Saint-Germain, is priced at 85.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: +9.0 pts; past month: +13.5 pts.
Since September 02, 2026, Paris Saint-Germain has traded between 50.0% and 85.5%. It opened at 50.0% and last traded at 85.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 76.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 76.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 76.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 76.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 85.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 85.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 85.5% |
Paris Saint-Germain is favored at 85.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Saint-Germain | 86¢ | 85.5% | — | $2.6K | 4.0% |
| Real Madrid | 84¢ | 83.5% | -1.0 pts | $19.7K | 30.7% |
| Barcelona | 80¢ | 80.0% | +1.0 pts | $3.4K | 5.3% |
| Arsenal | 75¢ | 75.0% | -1.0 pts | $888 | 1.4% |
| Bayern Munich | 72¢ | 72.0% | — | $610 | 1.0% |
| Liverpool | 64¢ | 64.0% | — | $5.8K | 9.0% |
| Manchester City | 60¢ | 60.5% | — | $878 | 1.4% |
| Inter Milan | 36¢ | 36.5% | — | $1.4K | 2.1% |
| Atlético Madrid | 34¢ | 34.5% | — | $6.3K | 9.7% |
| Aston Villa | 30¢ | 30.5% | — | $2.1K | 3.3% |
| Real Betis | 27¢ | 27.0% | — | $735 | 1.1% |
| VfB Stuttgart | 27¢ | 27.0% | — | $80 | 0.1% |
| Roma | 24¢ | 24.0% | — | $733 | 1.1% |
| Borussia Dortmund | 23¢ | 23.0% | — | $1.9K | 2.9% |
| Como | 22¢ | 22.0% | — | $1.3K | 2.1% |
| Club Brugge | 22¢ | 22.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Manchester United | 20¢ | 20.5% | — | $475 | 0.7% |
| Napoli | 18¢ | 18.5% | -1.0 pts | $1.8K | 2.7% |
| Villarreal | 16¢ | 16.0% | -0.5 pts | $2.1K | 3.3% |
| Feyenoord | 16¢ | 15.5% | -0.5 pts | $21 | 0.0% |
| Sporting CP | 14¢ | 14.5% | +1.0 pts | $666 | 1.0% |
| Galatasaray | 14¢ | 14.4% | +0.3 pts | $271 | 0.4% |
| RB Leipzig | 14¢ | 14.0% | — | $2.0K | 3.1% |
| Bodø/Glimt | 14¢ | 14.0% | -0.4 pts | $2.2K | 3.5% |
| Porto | 12¢ | 12.5% | — | $2 | 0.0% |
| Lens | 12¢ | 12.0% | — | $1.6K | 2.4% |
| PSV Eindhoven | 12¢ | 12.0% | — | $2.0K | 3.1% |
| Lille | 8¢ | 7.9% | — | $167 | 0.3% |
| Shakhtar Donetsk | 7¢ | 6.6% | +0.8 pts | $617 | 1.0% |
| LASK | 4¢ | 4.5% | — | $183 | 0.3% |
| AEK Athens | 4¢ | 4.3% | +0.2 pts | $29 | 0.0% |
| Slavia Prague | 3¢ | 3.3% | -0.2 pts | $617 | 1.0% |
| Fenerbahçe | 3¢ | 3.2% | — | $564 | 0.9% |
| Slovan Bratislava | 3¢ | 2.9% | — | $224 | 0.3% |
| Viking | 2¢ | 1.6% | — | $165 | 0.3% |
| Sabah | 1¢ | 0.7% | — | $264 | 0.4% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 85¢ / ask 86¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$64.2K has been traded on this event in total, $134 of it in the last 24 hours, across 36 markets.
This market is scheduled to end March 20, 2027, 07:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2027 UEFA Champions League quarterfinal. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the UEFA Champions League quarterfinal (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2027 UEFA Champions League is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or the 2027 UEFA Champions League quarterfinal matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,210 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sizzling-Scallion | Yes | 1,210 | $1.0K |
| Monstrous-Dew | No | 491 | $71 |
| Enchanted-Plaintiff | No | 300 | $44 |
| Blue-Bend | No | 122 | $18 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 100 | $14 |
| Second-Hand-Neighborhood | No | 88 | $13 |
| Writhing-Round | No | 80 | $12 |
| Rewarding-Pantologist | No | 66 | $10 |
| Snappy-Rooster | Yes | 40 | $34 |
| Tiny-Episode | Yes | 35 | $30 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 02:24 AM ET | No | SELL | 20.0% | $16 |
| Oct 22, 02:23 AM ET | No | BUY | 23.5% | $19 |
| Oct 22, 12:20 AM ET | No | BUY | 39.0% | $8 |
| Oct 22, 12:20 AM ET | No | BUY | 35.0% | $7 |
| Oct 21, 09:36 PM ET | No | SELL | 20.0% | $0 |
| Oct 21, 09:19 PM ET | No | SELL | 64.0% | $13 |
| Oct 21, 09:18 PM ET | No | SELL | 64.0% | $2 |
| Oct 21, 09:18 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 36.0% | $11 |
| Oct 21, 09:18 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 35.0% | $10 |
| Oct 21, 09:18 PM ET | No | SELL | 65.0% | $2 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Paris Saint-Germain at 85.5%. Next is Real Madrid at 83.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/uefa-champions-league-team-to-advance-to-2027-quarters?via=bro
$64.2K in total volume, with $134 traded in the last 24 hours across 36 markets.
The market is scheduled to end March 20, 2027, 07:59 PM ET.
Paris Saint-Germain, priced at 85.5% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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