Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

UEFA Champions League: Team to advance to 2027 Round of 16

As of October 24, 2026, 07:53 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Paris Saint-Germain at 98.6% in UEFA Champions League: Team to advance to 2027 Round of 16 — $88.6K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $268.
Leading outcome
Paris Saint-Germain
99%
A 98.6% price implies roughly a 99-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H −0.1 pts7D +1.5 pts30D +2.4 pts
Paris Saint-Germain98.6%
Arsenal97.9%
Bid
97¢
Ask
100¢
Spread
3¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since September 02, 2026: 50.0% – 98.7% · Opened at 50.0%

Market facts

Event data
Event
UEFA Champions League: Team to advance to 2027 Round of 16
Category
UCL, Soccer, Sports, Champions League
Scheduled end
February 28, 2027, 06:59 PM ET
Total volume
$88.6K
Volume (24h)
$268
Liquidity
$143.7K
Markets
36
Leading outcome
Paris Saint-Germain — 98.6%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, Paris Saint-Germain, is priced at 98.6%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -0.1 pts; past week: +1.5 pts; past month: +2.4 pts.

Since September 02, 2026, Paris Saint-Germain has traded between 50.0% and 98.7%. It opened at 50.0% and last traded at 98.7%.

DayClose
Oct 16, 202696.5%
Oct 17, 202697.2%
Oct 18, 202694.8%
Oct 19, 202693.5%
Oct 20, 202698.5%
Oct 22, 202698.6%
Oct 23, 202698.7%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

Paris Saint-Germain is favored at 98.6%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
Paris Saint-Germain99¢98.6%-0.1 pts$2.1K2.4%
Arsenal98¢97.9%—$3.1K3.5%
Real Madrid97¢96.8%—$380.0%
Barcelona95¢95.3%+0.4 pts$2.5K2.9%
Bayern Munich90¢90.2%—$4.2K4.7%
Liverpool88¢88.5%+0.5 pts$1.4K1.6%
Manchester City87¢87.0%+0.5 pts$3650.4%
Aston Villa73¢73.0%—$1.7K1.9%
Real Betis68¢67.5%—$5.0K5.6%
VfB Stuttgart62¢62.0%—$2.0K2.3%
Atlético Madrid60¢60.5%—$9.1K10.3%
Borussia Dortmund59¢59.0%—$4060.5%
Como52¢52.5%—$11.7K13.2%
Inter Milan50¢50.5%—$8.9K10.1%
Club Brugge48¢47.5%—$6310.7%
Sporting CP42¢42.5%—$2.5K2.9%
Roma42¢41.5%—$1.2K1.3%
Manchester United38¢38.0%—$2.9K3.2%
Napoli38¢38.0%—$2.4K2.7%
Villarreal36¢36.0%—$2.8K3.2%
RB Leipzig31¢31.0%-0.5 pts$3.3K3.7%
Galatasaray30¢29.5%+1.5 pts$1.7K1.9%
PSV Eindhoven28¢28.0%—$2510.3%
Feyenoord26¢26.0%—$2.1K2.4%
Shakhtar Donetsk25¢25.0%—$2580.3%
Bodø/Glimt25¢25.0%—$2.4K2.8%
Fenerbahçe18¢17.5%+1.0 pts$3.6K4.0%
Lens16¢16.5%—$6050.7%
Porto16¢15.5%—$1.7K1.9%
AEK Athens14¢13.5%—$2.2K2.5%
Lille8¢8.5%—$2180.2%
LASK6¢6.5%-0.7 pts$1.4K1.6%
Viking6¢5.7%—$2.5K2.9%
Slavia Prague3¢3.4%—$3960.4%
Slovan Bratislava3¢3.4%-0.3 pts$3900.4%
Sabah2¢2.5%—$5970.7%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 97¢ / ask 100¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$88.6K has been traded on this event in total, $268 of it in the last 24 hours, across 36 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end February 28, 2027, 06:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2027 UEFA Champions League Round of 16. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the UEFA Champions League Round of 16 (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2027 UEFA Champions League is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or the 2027 UEFA Champions League Round of 16 matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 403 shares of Yes.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Vital-DiversityYes403$398
Growing-WayYes254$250
0x55332464…No254$4
Blond-CalorieYes192$190
Critical-Play-YellowjacketNo173$2
Grim-GarageNo91$1
Cool-CopywriterNo73$1
Unfinished-Tadpole-DrivewayNo61$1
Yawning-SleepinessYes50$49
Belated-GlueNo50$1

What are the latest trades?

Tape
SELL No — $440 at 42.0%SELL No — $300 at 66.0%SELL Yes — $274 at 44.3%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 23, 01:05 PM ETNoSELL47.0%$33
Oct 23, 09:27 AM ETNoSELL46.0%$9
Oct 23, 09:26 AM ETYesBUY48.0%$78
Oct 23, 07:52 AM ETYesSELL45.0%$9
Oct 23, 03:33 AM ETYesBUY48.0%$19
Oct 23, 03:28 AM ETYesBUY47.0%$28
Oct 22, 12:30 PM ETYesBUY53.0%$159
Oct 22, 12:26 PM ETYesBUY53.0%$51
Oct 22, 12:26 PM ETYesBUY52.0%$158
Oct 22, 07:00 AM ETYesSELL44.3%$274

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of UEFA Champions League: Team to advance to 2027 Round of 16?

As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Paris Saint-Germain at 98.6%. Next is Arsenal at 97.9%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/uefa-champions-league-team-to-advance-to-2027-round-of-16?via=bro

How much money has been traded on UEFA Champions League: Team to advance to 2027 Round of 16?

$88.6K in total volume, with $268 traded in the last 24 hours across 36 markets.

When does UEFA Champions League: Team to advance to 2027 Round of 16 end?

The market is scheduled to end February 28, 2027, 06:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of UEFA Champions League: Team to advance to 2027 Round of 16, according to Polymarket traders?

Paris Saint-Germain, priced at 98.6% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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