As of October 24, 2026, 08:00 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Paris Saint-Germain at 57.0% in UEFA Champions League: Team to advance to 2027 semis — $45.4K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Paris Saint-Germain, is priced at 57.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -0.5 pts; past week: +8.0 pts; past month: +20.0 pts.
Since September 02, 2026, Paris Saint-Germain has traded between 30.5% and 57.0%. It opened at 50.0% and last traded at 55.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | 38.0% |
| Oct 13, 2026 | 30.5% |
| Oct 15, 2026 | 50.0% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 50.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 50.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 51.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 55.0% |
Paris Saint-Germain is favored at 57.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Saint-Germain | 57¢ | 57.0% | -0.5 pts | $676 | 1.5% |
| Barcelona | 54¢ | 53.5% | -0.5 pts | $4.2K | 9.1% |
| Bayern Munich | 50¢ | 50.5% | +1.0 pts | $2.6K | 5.6% |
| Real Madrid | 40¢ | 40.0% | — | $1.2K | 2.7% |
| Arsenal | 40¢ | 39.5% | — | $2.9K | 6.5% |
| Manchester City | 25¢ | 25.0% | +0.5 pts | $630 | 1.4% |
| Liverpool | 17¢ | 17.0% | — | $4.5K | 10.0% |
| Inter Milan | 16¢ | 16.0% | — | $8.3K | 18.2% |
| Borussia Dortmund | 14¢ | 14.5% | +1.5 pts | $2 | 0.0% |
| Aston Villa | 13¢ | 12.7% | — | $3.1K | 6.9% |
| Atlético Madrid | 10¢ | 10.5% | -7.5 pts | $404 | 0.9% |
| Real Betis | 10¢ | 10.1% | -0.1 pts | $279 | 0.6% |
| Manchester United | 10¢ | 9.5% | +1.5 pts | $20 | 0.0% |
| Sporting CP | 10¢ | 9.5% | +1.0 pts | $102 | 0.2% |
| Roma | 9¢ | 9.0% | -0.5 pts | $5.1K | 11.2% |
| Como | 9¢ | 8.7% | +0.1 pts | $763 | 1.7% |
| VfB Stuttgart | 8¢ | 7.5% | — | $1.1K | 2.5% |
| Fenerbahçe | 8¢ | 7.5% | -0.5 pts | $527 | 1.2% |
| Porto | 6¢ | 6.5% | — | $287 | 0.6% |
| RB Leipzig | 6¢ | 6.0% | — | $101 | 0.2% |
| Napoli | 5¢ | 5.0% | — | $21 | 0.0% |
| Lille | 4¢ | 4.5% | -0.1 pts | $94 | 0.2% |
| Feyenoord | 4¢ | 4.5% | +0.4 pts | $1.6K | 3.5% |
| PSV Eindhoven | 4¢ | 4.2% | -0.2 pts | $21 | 0.0% |
| Lens | 4¢ | 3.9% | -0.1 pts | $21 | 0.0% |
| Villarreal | 4¢ | 3.8% | +0.3 pts | $101 | 0.2% |
| Club Brugge | 4¢ | 3.5% | -0.2 pts | $21 | 0.0% |
| Viking | 3¢ | 3.3% | — | $304 | 0.7% |
| Shakhtar Donetsk | 3¢ | 3.2% | +0.2 pts | $102 | 0.2% |
| Slavia Prague | 3¢ | 3.1% | — | $123 | 0.3% |
| AEK Athens | 3¢ | 2.8% | -0.3 pts | $159 | 0.4% |
| Bodø/Glimt | 3¢ | 2.7% | -0.2 pts | $617 | 1.4% |
| Galatasaray | 2¢ | 2.5% | — | $1.8K | 4.0% |
| Sabah | 2¢ | 1.5% | — | $335 | 0.7% |
| Slovan Bratislava | 1¢ | 1.3% | — | $2.9K | 6.3% |
| LASK | 1¢ | 1.1% | — | $456 | 1.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 56¢ / ask 58¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$45.4K has been traded on this event in total, $49 of it in the last 24 hours, across 36 markets.
This market is scheduled to end April 18, 2027, 07:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2027 UEFA Champions League semifinal. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the UEFA Champions League semifinal (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2027 UEFA Champions League is cancelled, postponed after May 20, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or the 2027 UEFA Champions League semifinal matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 197 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vital-Diversity | No | 197 | $85 |
| Each-Summary | Yes | 148 | $84 |
| Infatuated-Nun | Yes | 60 | $34 |
| Tattered-Horde-Report | Yes | 26 | $15 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 21 | $9 |
| 0xb28443ed… | No | 20 | $9 |
| Inconsequential-Spider | Yes | 13 | $8 |
| Trusty-Lining-Wax | No | 13 | $6 |
| Slim-Mincemeat | Yes | 13 | $7 |
| Plump-Implementation | No | 11 | $5 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 06:42 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 16.0% | $6 |
| Oct 22, 01:15 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 20.0% | $4 |
| Oct 22, 01:15 AM ET | No | SELL | 81.0% | $16 |
| Oct 21, 02:58 PM ET | No | SELL | 79.0% | $16 |
| Oct 21, 02:58 PM ET | No | BUY | 79.0% | $16 |
| Oct 21, 01:41 PM ET | No | BUY | 79.0% | $29 |
| Oct 21, 01:41 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 19.6% | $13 |
| Oct 19, 02:05 PM ET | No | BUY | 93.0% | $7 |
| Oct 19, 07:34 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 20.0% | $4 |
| Oct 19, 07:34 AM ET | No | SELL | 83.8% | $43 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Paris Saint-Germain at 57.0%. Next is Barcelona at 53.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/uefa-champions-league-team-to-advance-to-2027-semis?via=bro
$45.4K in total volume, with $49 traded in the last 24 hours across 36 markets.
The market is scheduled to end April 18, 2027, 07:59 PM ET.
Paris Saint-Germain, priced at 57.0% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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