As of October 24, 2026, 06:28 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Real Madrid at 95.7% in UEFA Champions League: Team to Finish Top 8 in League Phase — $49.5K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Real Madrid, is priced at 95.7%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -0.1 pts; past week: +8.9 pts; past month: +17.7 pts.
Since September 14, 2026, Real Madrid has traded between 50.0% and 95.8%. It opened at 50.0% and last traded at 95.7%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 86.6% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 86.3% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 86.6% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 88.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 95.4% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 95.8% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 95.7% |
Real Madrid is favored at 95.7%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | 96¢ | 95.7% | -0.1 pts | $7.4K | 15.0% |
| Paris Saint-Germain | 93¢ | 93.0% | — | $1.2K | 2.4% |
| Arsenal | 92¢ | 91.5% | — | $543 | 1.1% |
| Liverpool | 82¢ | 81.5% | -1.0 pts | $1.7K | 3.4% |
| Barcelona | 80¢ | 80.5% | — | $7.0K | 14.2% |
| Bayern Munich | 57¢ | 57.5% | -0.5 pts | $4.4K | 8.9% |
| Manchester City | 56¢ | 56.0% | +0.5 pts | $674 | 1.4% |
| Aston Villa | 50¢ | 49.5% | — | $275 | 0.6% |
| Real Betis | 42¢ | 42.5% | — | $144 | 0.3% |
| VfB Stuttgart | 33¢ | 33.0% | — | $1.9K | 3.9% |
| Atlético Madrid | 20¢ | 20.5% | — | $579 | 1.2% |
| Inter Milan | 20¢ | 20.0% | — | $3.9K | 7.8% |
| Borussia Dortmund | 20¢ | 20.0% | — | $184 | 0.4% |
| Como | 16¢ | 15.5% | +0.5 pts | $1.2K | 2.5% |
| Sporting CP | 14¢ | 13.5% | -1.0 pts | $4.8K | 9.7% |
| Club Brugge | 13¢ | 13.0% | -0.1 pts | $1.3K | 2.6% |
| Manchester United | 12¢ | 11.5% | — | $11 | 0.0% |
| Roma | 10¢ | 9.5% | +0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Napoli | 6¢ | 6.5% | — | $164 | 0.3% |
| Villarreal | 6¢ | 6.0% | — | $446 | 0.9% |
| RB Leipzig | 6¢ | 6.0% | -0.5 pts | $82 | 0.2% |
| Feyenoord | 6¢ | 5.5% | — | $21 | 0.0% |
| PSV Eindhoven | 5¢ | 5.0% | — | $21 | 0.0% |
| Slovan Bratislava | 3¢ | 3.5% | +0.7 pts | $118 | 0.2% |
| Sabah | 3¢ | 3.2% | +0.2 pts | $135 | 0.3% |
| Viking | 3¢ | 3.1% | +0.1 pts | $354 | 0.7% |
| Lens | 3¢ | 3.0% | -0.8 pts | $166 | 0.3% |
| Fenerbahçe | 3¢ | 3.0% | -0.4 pts | $1.8K | 3.5% |
| LASK | 3¢ | 2.9% | — | $200 | 0.4% |
| Galatasaray | 3¢ | 2.8% | — | $1.3K | 2.6% |
| Shakhtar Donetsk | 3¢ | 2.8% | — | $220 | 0.4% |
| Porto | 2¢ | 1.7% | -0.1 pts | $161 | 0.3% |
| AEK Athens | 2¢ | 1.7% | — | $1.5K | 3.0% |
| Lille | 2¢ | 1.5% | — | $3.7K | 7.4% |
| Bodø/Glimt | 2¢ | 1.5% | +0.1 pts | $531 | 1.1% |
| Slavia Prague | 0¢ | 0.4% | — | $1.4K | 2.9% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 95¢ / ask 97¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$49.5K has been traded on this event in total, $221 of it in the last 24 hours, across 36 markets.
This market is scheduled to end February 28, 2027, 06:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club finishes in the top 8 of the final league phase standings of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only matches played in the league phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League will be considered. Qualifying rounds, the knockout phase play-offs, and all knockout rounds will not be considered. If two or more clubs are level on points, the ranking will be determined according to UEFA's official tie-breaker criteria as published for the competition. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to finish in the top 8 of the league phase (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated from doing so), this market will immediately resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League league phase is canceled or is not completed by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If a listed club does not participate in, withdraws from, or is expelled from the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League league phase, its market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 2,413 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Velvety-Zoologist-Tale | Yes | 2,413 | $2.3K |
| Ancient-Interviewer-Prison | No | 2,207 | $95 |
| Bulky-Helo-Athlete | No | 176 | $8 |
| Vital-Diversity | Yes | 172 | $165 |
| Sneaky-Spouse | No | 81 | $3 |
| Tiny-Episode | Yes | 60 | $57 |
| Lined-Divalent | Yes | 59 | $56 |
| Frilly-Behold | No | 55 | $2 |
| Creamy-Geology | No | 40 | $2 |
| Worthless-Storytelling | No | 28 | $1 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 02:26 PM ET | No | BUY | 87.0% | $56 |
| Oct 24, 11:45 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 80.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 11:20 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 81.0% | $20 |
| Oct 24, 10:43 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 80.0% | $3 |
| Oct 23, 05:38 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 80.0% | $2 |
| Oct 23, 05:26 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 80.0% | $4 |
| Oct 23, 02:44 PM ET | No | SELL | 85.0% | $68 |
| Oct 23, 02:44 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 13.0% | $5 |
| Oct 22, 04:25 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 11.0% | $2 |
| Oct 22, 09:51 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 13.2% | $3 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is Real Madrid at 95.7%. Next is Paris Saint-Germain at 93.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/uefa-champions-league-team-to-finish-top-8-in-league-phase?via=bro
$49.5K in total volume, with $221 traded in the last 24 hours across 36 markets.
The market is scheduled to end February 28, 2027, 06:59 PM ET.
Real Madrid, priced at 95.7% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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