Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

UEFA EURO 2028: Winner

As of October 24, 2026, 07:49 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Will Country A win the UEFA EURO 2028? at 50.0% in UEFA EURO 2028: Winner — $169.2K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $392.
Leading outcome
Will Country A win the UEFA EURO 2028?
50%
A 50.0% price implies roughly a 50-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H +0.0 pts7D +0.0 pts30D +0.0 pts
Will Country A win the UEFA EURO 2028?50.0%
Will Country B win the UEFA EURO 2028?50.0%
Bid
0¢
Ask
100¢
Spread
100¢
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Market facts

Event data
Event
UEFA EURO 2028: Winner
Category
UEFA, Euros, Soccer, Sports
Scheduled end
July 23, 2028, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$169.2K
Volume (24h)
$392
Liquidity
$1.92M
Markets
66
Leading outcome
Will Country A win the UEFA EURO 2028? — 50.0%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, Will Country A win the UEFA EURO 2028?, is priced at 50.0%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.0 pts; past week: +0.0 pts; past month: +0.0 pts.

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

Will Country A win the UEFA EURO 2028? is favored at 50.0%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
Will Country A win the UEFA EURO 2028?50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Will Country B win the UEFA EURO 2028?50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Will Country C win the UEFA EURO 2028?50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Will Country D win the UEFA EURO 2028?50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Will Country E win the UEFA EURO 2028?50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Will Country F win the UEFA EURO 2028?50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Will Country G win the UEFA EURO 2028?50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Will Country H win the UEFA EURO 2028?50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Will Country I win the UEFA EURO 2028?50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Will Country J win the UEFA EURO 2028?50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Will another country win the UEFA EURO 2028?50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Spain22¢22.5%—$6.8K4.0%
France18¢18.5%—$6.2K3.7%
England16¢15.5%—$5.8K3.4%
Germany10¢9.5%—$6.3K3.7%
Portugal9¢9.0%—$4.0K2.3%
Norway6¢6.2%-0.1 pts$9.8K5.8%
Netherlands4¢4.5%—$4.7K2.8%
Belgium4¢3.8%+0.1 pts$6.4K3.8%
Italy3¢3.4%—$3.9K2.3%
Iceland3¢3.3%+0.7 pts$2.4K1.4%
Armenia3¢3.1%-0.4 pts$1.8K1.1%
Lithuania3¢3.1%+0.8 pts$1.6K1.0%
Kosovo3¢3.0%—$3.8K2.2%
Kazakhstan3¢2.9%+0.6 pts$1.4K0.8%
San Marino3¢2.9%+0.1 pts$1.4K0.8%
Azerbaijan3¢2.9%+0.1 pts$1.8K1.1%
Liechtenstein3¢2.9%+0.1 pts$1.0K0.6%
Finland3¢2.9%-0.4 pts$2.6K1.5%
Latvia3¢2.8%-0.4 pts$1.4K0.8%
Andorra3¢2.6%-0.1 pts$3.9K2.3%
Malta2¢2.4%—$1.4K0.8%
Moldova2¢2.4%—$1.4K0.8%
Romania2¢2.2%—$2.8K1.7%
Russia2¢2.2%+1.6 pts$2.1K1.2%
Gibraltar2¢2.1%+0.1 pts$1.7K1.0%
Cyprus2¢2.1%-0.7 pts$1.5K0.9%
Luxembourg2¢2.1%-0.8 pts$1.3K0.8%
Georgia2¢2.0%—$2.9K1.7%
Slovenia2¢1.9%—$2.3K1.3%
Israel2¢1.9%—$2.3K1.3%
Switzerland2¢1.8%—$3.3K2.0%
Bosnia and Herzegovina2¢1.6%—$2.7K1.6%
Austria2¢1.5%—$4.1K2.4%
Turkey2¢1.5%+0.1 pts$5.0K3.0%
Croatia1¢1.2%—$3.3K2.0%
Greece1¢1.2%-0.1 pts$4.9K2.9%
Poland1¢1.1%—$3.5K2.1%
Denmark1¢0.9%—$3.0K1.8%
Sweden1¢0.7%—$3.7K2.2%
Faroe Islands1¢0.6%—$1.8K1.1%
North Macedonia1¢0.6%-1.8 pts$3.9K2.3%
Serbia0¢0.4%—$2.2K1.3%
Estonia0¢0.4%—$1.7K1.0%
Hungary0¢0.4%—$3.1K1.8%
Belarus0¢0.3%—$1.7K1.0%
Ukraine0¢0.3%—$2.2K1.3%
Wales0¢0.3%—$2.8K1.6%
Albania0¢0.2%—$5.4K3.2%
Bulgaria0¢0.2%—$2.6K1.6%
Czech Republic0¢0.1%—$2.5K1.5%
Northern Ireland0¢0.1%—$1.6K1.0%
Republic of Ireland0¢0.1%—$2.4K1.4%
Scotland0¢0.1%—$2.3K1.4%
Slovakia0¢0.1%—$1.6K1.0%
Montenegro0¢0.1%—$1.0K0.6%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 100¢ (bid 0¢ / ask 100¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$169.2K has been traded on this event in total, $392 of it in the last 24 hours, across 66 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end July 23, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve according to the nation that wins the UEFA EURO 2028. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed nation to win the UEFA EURO 2028 per the rules of UEFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the UEFA EURO 2028 is cancelled, postponed after July 23, 2028, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 3,336 shares of No.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
0xa5ef39c3…No3,336$1.7K
Attentive-CrewmanYes618$309
Sparse-CookieYes488$244
Giant-Otter-RecruitYes476$238
Messy-Ritual-HopsYes350$175
Frozen-CarYes150$75
Bulky-EavesdropperYes140$70
Glossy-BelieverYes131$66
Miniature-DriveYes125$62
Determined-MugYes107$54

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY No — $156 at 78.0%BUY No — $42 at 78.0%SELL Yes — $33 at 22.0%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 03:40 PM ETNoSELL93.2%$6
Oct 24, 02:27 PM ETNoBUY97.1%$5
Oct 24, 02:16 PM ETNoSELL95.3%$5
Oct 24, 01:22 PM ETNoSELL95.5%$8
Oct 24, 01:12 PM ETNoSELL95.5%$9
Oct 24, 01:00 PM ETNoBUY97.1%$4
Oct 24, 01:00 PM ETNoBUY94.3%$7
Oct 24, 12:06 PM ETNoSELL93.2%$5
Oct 24, 11:49 AM ETNoSELL95.5%$6
Oct 24, 11:46 AM ETNoSELL95.5%$5

Related markets

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of UEFA EURO 2028: Winner?

As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Will Country A win the UEFA EURO 2028? at 50.0%. Next is Will Country B win the UEFA EURO 2028? at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/uefa-euro-2028-winner-20260720162754434?via=bro

How much money has been traded on UEFA EURO 2028: Winner?

$169.2K in total volume, with $392 traded in the last 24 hours across 66 markets.

When does UEFA EURO 2028: Winner end?

The market is scheduled to end July 23, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of UEFA EURO 2028: Winner, according to Polymarket traders?

Will Country A win the UEFA EURO 2028?, priced at 50.0% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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