As of October 24, 2026, 07:51 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Benfica at 53.5% in UEFA Europa League: League Phase Winner — $108.3K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Benfica, is priced at 53.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: +34.0 pts; past month: +42.5 pts.
Since September 08, 2026, Benfica has traded between 6.5% and 53.5%. It opened at 46.5% and last traded at 53.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 20.0% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 18.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 19.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 25.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 23.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 53.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 53.5% |
Benfica is favored at 53.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benfica | 54¢ | 53.5% | — | $37.1K | 34.2% |
| Team A | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Team B | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Team C | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Team D | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Team E | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Bournemouth | 23¢ | 23.0% | -1.5 pts | $4.8K | 4.4% |
| Bayer Leverkusen | 14¢ | 13.5% | -1.0 pts | $5.1K | 4.7% |
| Juventus | 6¢ | 6.5% | +1.0 pts | $6.2K | 5.7% |
| Olympiacos | 3¢ | 2.8% | -0.1 pts | $3.3K | 3.0% |
| Real Sociedad | 3¢ | 2.8% | +0.1 pts | $2.2K | 2.0% |
| Sparta Prague | 1¢ | 1.1% | — | $1.3K | 1.2% |
| Milan | 1¢ | 0.5% | — | $1.6K | 1.4% |
| Red Bull Salzburg | 0¢ | 0.5% | — | $1.8K | 1.7% |
| Rennes | 0¢ | 0.4% | +0.1 pts | $1.7K | 1.6% |
| AZ | 0¢ | 0.2% | — | $1.2K | 1.1% |
| Sturm Graz | 0¢ | 0.2% | — | $1.7K | 1.6% |
| Sunderland | 0¢ | 0.2% | — | $3.5K | 3.2% |
| Besiktas | 0¢ | 0.2% | — | $2.0K | 1.8% |
| OFI | 0¢ | 0.2% | — | $1.3K | 1.2% |
| Lillestrom | 0¢ | 0.2% | — | $2.0K | 1.8% |
| Marseille | 0¢ | 0.2% | -0.1 pts | $1.5K | 1.4% |
| Union Saint-Gilloise | 0¢ | 0.2% | — | $2.1K | 2.0% |
| Celtic | 0¢ | 0.2% | — | $1.0K | 1.0% |
| Crystal Palace | 0¢ | 0.2% | — | $2.4K | 2.2% |
| Torreense | 0¢ | 0.2% | — | $1.0K | 1.0% |
| Ararat-Armenia | 0¢ | 0.2% | — | $1.0K | 1.0% |
| Lyon | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $4.2K | 3.8% |
| Omonia | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $1.2K | 1.1% |
| Ferencvaros | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $1.5K | 1.3% |
| Celta Vigo | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $1.7K | 1.5% |
| TSG Hoffenheim | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $1.7K | 1.5% |
| Viktoria Plzen | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $1.1K | 1.0% |
| Dinamo Zagreb | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $1.0K | 1.0% |
| Anderlecht | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $1.3K | 1.2% |
| Lech Poznan | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $1.5K | 1.4% |
| Celje | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $1.1K | 1.0% |
| Jagiellonia Bialystok | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $2.6K | 2.4% |
| Hapoel Be'er Sheva | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $1.1K | 1.0% |
| NEC | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $1.6K | 1.5% |
| Levski Sofia | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $1.1K | 1.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 53¢ / ask 54¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$108.3K has been traded on this event in total, $420 of it in the last 24 hours, across 42 markets.
This market is scheduled to end February 28, 2027, 06:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the team that finishes first in the league phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to finish first in the league phase (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If two or more clubs are level on points, the ranking will be determined according to UEFA's official tie-breaker criteria as published for the competition. If the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League league phase is canceled or not completed by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 4,719 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plastic-Army | Yes | 4,719 | $2.5K |
| Sore-Role | Yes | 4,108 | $2.2K |
| Bulky-Helo-Athlete | No | 4,017 | $1.9K |
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 3,582 | $1.7K |
| Aggravating-Century | No | 1,862 | $866 |
| Dual-Steak-Sombrero | No | 1,744 | $811 |
| P1kaso | Yes | 801 | $429 |
| Suspicious-Cloakroom | Yes | 573 | $306 |
| 0x14a1783e… | No | 461 | $214 |
| Bronze-Mean-Wetbar | Yes | 400 | $214 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 05:12 PM ET | No | SELL | 46.0% | $23 |
| Oct 24, 08:58 AM ET | No | SELL | 46.0% | $27 |
| Oct 24, 05:27 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 54.0% | $11 |
| Oct 24, 05:22 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 15.0% | $8 |
| Oct 23, 09:01 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 4.0% | $2 |
| Oct 23, 09:01 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 4.0% | $1 |
| Oct 23, 07:25 PM ET | No | SELL | 47.0% | $2 |
| Oct 23, 07:25 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 53.0% | $29 |
| Oct 23, 07:25 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 52.0% | $82 |
| Oct 23, 04:52 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 53.0% | $66 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Benfica at 53.5%. Next is Team A at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/uefa-europa-league-league-phase-winner?via=bro
$108.3K in total volume, with $420 traded in the last 24 hours across 42 markets.
The market is scheduled to end February 28, 2027, 06:59 PM ET.
Benfica, priced at 53.5% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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