As of October 24, 2026, 08:03 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Bayer Leverkusen at 98.5% in UEFA Europa League: Team to advance to 2027 Round of 16 — $34.7K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Bayer Leverkusen, is priced at 98.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: +3.5 pts; past month: +7.6 pts.
Since September 02, 2026, Bayer Leverkusen has traded between 50.0% and 98.5%. It opened at 50.0% and last traded at 98.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 94.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 95.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 95.8% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 95.8% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 98.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 98.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 98.5% |
Bayer Leverkusen is favored at 98.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayer Leverkusen | 98¢ | 98.5% | — | $801 | 2.3% |
| Bournemouth | 92¢ | 92.0% | -0.5 pts | $100 | 0.3% |
| Juventus | 85¢ | 85.0% | — | $80 | 0.2% |
| Sunderland | 82¢ | 81.5% | -0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Crystal Palace | 74¢ | 74.5% | — | $600 | 1.7% |
| Real Sociedad | 66¢ | 66.5% | — | $8.5K | 24.4% |
| Rennes | 64¢ | 64.5% | — | $3.6K | 10.4% |
| Milan | 64¢ | 63.5% | — | $40 | 0.1% |
| AZ | 60¢ | 60.5% | — | $2.4K | 6.9% |
| Celta Vigo | 47¢ | 47.0% | — | $8.7K | 25.1% |
| TSG Hoffenheim | 42¢ | 42.5% | -1.0 pts | $6.0K | 17.4% |
| Marseille | 22¢ | 22.5% | — | $1.6K | 4.5% |
| Torreense | 10¢ | 10.5% | — | $2.3K | 6.7% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 97¢ / ask 100¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$34.7K has been traded on this event in total, $59 of it in the last 24 hours, across 13 markets.
This market is scheduled to end February 28, 2027, 06:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2027 UEFA Europa League Round of 16. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the UEFA Europa League Round of 16 (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2027 UEFA Europa League is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or the 2027 UEFA Europa League Round of 16 matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 180 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Failing-Timeline | Yes | 180 | $177 |
| Slim-Divine | No | 60 | $1 |
| Grim-Garage | No | 42 | $1 |
| Ringed-Skull | Yes | 20 | $20 |
| Rowdy-Tenement | No | 20 | $0 |
| Sentimental-Contagion | No | 20 | $0 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 20 | $0 |
| Plump-Implementation | No | 19 | $0 |
| Inconsequential-Honeydew | No | 19 | $0 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 05:40 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 42.0% | $3 |
| Oct 23, 05:11 AM ET | No | SELL | 33.0% | $5 |
| Oct 23, 03:01 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 39.0% | $8 |
| Oct 22, 08:03 PM ET | No | BUY | 51.3% | $102 |
| Oct 22, 08:03 PM ET | No | BUY | 55.0% | $11 |
| Oct 22, 08:03 PM ET | No | BUY | 55.0% | $7 |
| Oct 22, 06:24 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 50.0% | $19 |
| Oct 22, 05:53 PM ET | No | BUY | 26.0% | $5 |
| Oct 22, 05:05 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 62.0% | $12 |
| Oct 22, 04:50 PM ET | No | SELL | 51.0% | $0 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Bayer Leverkusen at 98.5%. Next is Bournemouth at 92.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/uefa-europa-league-team-to-advance-to-2027-round-of-16?via=bro
$34.7K in total volume, with $59 traded in the last 24 hours across 13 markets.
The market is scheduled to end February 28, 2027, 06:59 PM ET.
Bayer Leverkusen, priced at 98.5% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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