As of October 24, 2026, 07:53 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Benfica at 95.5% in UEFA Europa League: Team to Finish Top 8 in League Phase — $89.8K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Benfica, is priced at 95.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -0.5 pts; past week: +11.5 pts; past month: +13.0 pts.
Since September 14, 2026, Benfica has traded between 50.0% and 88.0%. It opened at 50.0% and last traded at 88.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | 71.5% |
| Oct 13, 2026 | 71.5% |
| Oct 15, 2026 | 84.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 84.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 84.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 86.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 88.0% |
Benfica is favored at 95.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benfica | 96¢ | 95.5% | -0.5 pts | $2.5K | 2.8% |
| Bournemouth | 94¢ | 94.0% | +1.5 pts | $2.7K | 3.1% |
| Bayer Leverkusen | 90¢ | 90.0% | +0.5 pts | $7.1K | 8.0% |
| Juventus | 76¢ | 75.5% | — | $4.8K | 5.3% |
| Sunderland | 58¢ | 58.5% | — | $645 | 0.7% |
| Besiktas | 46¢ | 46.5% | — | $310 | 0.3% |
| Olympiacos | 44¢ | 44.0% | -1.5 pts | $10.7K | 11.9% |
| Lyon | 40¢ | 40.5% | — | $2.8K | 3.1% |
| Ferencvaros | 36¢ | 35.5% | — | $2.6K | 2.9% |
| Crystal Palace | 36¢ | 35.5% | — | $1.6K | 1.8% |
| Rennes | 34¢ | 33.5% | — | $667 | 0.7% |
| Union Saint-Gilloise | 32¢ | 32.0% | +0.5 pts | $4.2K | 4.6% |
| Milan | 31¢ | 31.0% | — | $4.2K | 4.7% |
| AZ | 20¢ | 20.5% | +0.5 pts | $123 | 0.1% |
| Real Sociedad | 20¢ | 20.5% | +1.0 pts | $6.9K | 7.6% |
| Celta Vigo | 15¢ | 15.0% | +0.5 pts | $7.1K | 7.9% |
| TSG Hoffenheim | 12¢ | 11.9% | -0.1 pts | $3.1K | 3.5% |
| Sturm Graz | 9¢ | 9.4% | -0.1 pts | $1.8K | 2.0% |
| Red Bull Salzburg | 9¢ | 9.0% | — | $2.7K | 3.0% |
| Sparta Prague | 9¢ | 9.0% | — | $804 | 0.9% |
| Anderlecht | 6¢ | 6.5% | +0.5 pts | $112 | 0.1% |
| NEC | 5¢ | 5.4% | -0.1 pts | $176 | 0.2% |
| OFI | 5¢ | 4.9% | -0.1 pts | $1.0K | 1.1% |
| Torreense | 5¢ | 4.7% | -0.1 pts | $742 | 0.8% |
| Omonia | 5¢ | 4.6% | +0.1 pts | $4.7K | 5.2% |
| Dinamo Zagreb | 4¢ | 4.5% | — | $140 | 0.2% |
| Lillestrom | 4¢ | 3.7% | -0.1 pts | $803 | 0.9% |
| Jagiellonia Bialystok | 3¢ | 3.2% | — | $242 | 0.3% |
| Lech Poznan | 3¢ | 2.8% | -0.1 pts | $2.4K | 2.7% |
| Viktoria Plzen | 2¢ | 2.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Celje | 2¢ | 1.7% | +0.7 pts | $502 | 0.6% |
| Ararat-Armenia | 2¢ | 1.6% | -0.4 pts | $530 | 0.6% |
| Marseille | 1¢ | 1.4% | +0.4 pts | $9.2K | 10.2% |
| Hapoel Be'er Sheva | 1¢ | 0.6% | — | $278 | 0.3% |
| Celtic | 0¢ | 0.3% | — | $322 | 0.4% |
| Levski Sofia | 0¢ | 0.2% | — | $1.2K | 1.4% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 95¢ / ask 96¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$89.8K has been traded on this event in total, $2.1K of it in the last 24 hours, across 36 markets.
This market is scheduled to end February 28, 2027, 06:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club finishes in the top 8 of the final league phase standings of the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only matches played in the league phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League will be considered. Qualifying rounds, the knockout phase play-offs, and all knockout rounds will not be considered. If two or more clubs are level on points, the ranking will be determined according to UEFA's official tie-breaker criteria as published for the competition. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to finish in the top 8 of the league phase (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated from doing so), this market will immediately resolve to "No". If a listed club does not participate in, withdraws from, or is expelled from the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League league phase, its market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League league phase is canceled or is not completed by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 763 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pricey-Advancement | Yes | 763 | $729 |
| Loving-Programming | No | 664 | $30 |
| Pointed-Hippodrome | Yes | 505 | $482 |
| Dual-Steak-Sombrero | No | 270 | $12 |
| Bulky-Helo-Athlete | No | 200 | $9 |
| 0xa169f83d… | No | 180 | $8 |
| Sizzling-Scallion | Yes | 160 | $153 |
| Tiny-Episode | Yes | 90 | $86 |
| Slushy-Switching | Yes | 52 | $50 |
| Calculating-Sideburns | No | 43 | $2 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 11:16 AM ET | No | BUY | 10.0% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 10:49 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 43.0% | $9 |
| Oct 24, 10:49 AM ET | No | BUY | 56.6% | $565 |
| Oct 24, 10:49 AM ET | No | BUY | 57.0% | $16 |
| Oct 24, 04:09 AM ET | No | BUY | 54.2% | $294 |
| Oct 24, 04:09 AM ET | No | BUY | 56.0% | $43 |
| Oct 23, 11:39 PM ET | No | SELL | 9.0% | $0 |
| Oct 23, 07:30 PM ET | No | SELL | 53.0% | $106 |
| Oct 23, 04:41 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 45.2% | $1.1K |
| Oct 23, 04:41 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 49.0% | $1 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Benfica at 95.5%. Next is Bournemouth at 94.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/uefa-europa-league-team-to-finish-top-8-in-league-phase?via=bro
$89.8K in total volume, with $2.1K traded in the last 24 hours across 36 markets.
The market is scheduled to end February 28, 2027, 06:59 PM ET.
Benfica, priced at 95.5% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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