As of October 24, 2026, 08:12 PM ET, Polymarket traders price France at 83.0% in UEFA Nations League 2026-27: Group A1 Winner — $21.4K traded so far.
The leading outcome, France, is priced at 83.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: +1.5 pts; past month: +15.0 pts.
Since September 08, 2026, France has traded between 25.5% and 86.5%. It opened at 50.0% and last traded at 83.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 81.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 81.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 84.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 82.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 82.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 83.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 83.0% |
France is favored at 83.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| France | 83¢ | 83.0% | — | $12.1K | 56.3% |
| Team A | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Team B | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Italy | 18¢ | 17.5% | +1.5 pts | $4.9K | 23.0% |
| Belgium | 3¢ | 2.9% | -0.4 pts | $3.5K | 16.4% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 4¢ (bid 81¢ / ask 85¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$21.4K has been traded on this event in total, $20 of it in the last 24 hours, across 6 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 01, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group A1 at the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League. If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League. If the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League is cancelled, postponed after December 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 2,975 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corrupt-Spouse | No | 2,975 | $506 |
| P1kaso | Yes | 2,529 | $2.1K |
| Ancient-Interviewer-Prison | Yes | 1,896 | $1.6K |
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 1,241 | $211 |
| Aggravating-Century | Yes | 1,180 | $980 |
| False-Hop | No | 676 | $115 |
| Luminous-Burn | No | 511 | $87 |
| Chief-Plot | No | 300 | $51 |
| Fair-Tan | Yes | 191 | $159 |
| Whole-Freezing | No | 119 | $20 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 05:12 PM ET | No | SELL | 82.0% | $16 |
| Oct 23, 08:28 AM ET | No | BUY | 20.0% | $40 |
| Oct 23, 08:28 AM ET | No | SELL | 79.0% | $158 |
| Oct 23, 08:28 AM ET | No | BUY | 99.7% | $199 |
| Oct 23, 07:17 AM ET | No | BUY | 20.0% | $2 |
| Oct 23, 07:17 AM ET | No | BUY | 20.0% | $5 |
| Oct 23, 07:17 AM ET | No | BUY | 99.5% | $23 |
| Oct 23, 07:17 AM ET | No | SELL | 79.9% | $32 |
| Oct 23, 07:10 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 10.6% | $78 |
| Oct 23, 07:10 AM ET | No | BUY | 19.0% | $3 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is France at 83.0%. Next is Team A at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/uefa-nations-league-2026-27-group-a1-winner?via=bro
$21.4K in total volume, with $20 traded in the last 24 hours across 6 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 01, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
France, priced at 83.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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