As of October 24, 2026, 08:00 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Czechia at 85.5% in UEFA Nations League A: Teams relegated (2026-27) — $44.3K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Czechia, is priced at 85.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -1.5 pts; past week: -3.0 pts; past month: +13.5 pts.
Since September 09, 2026, Czechia has traded between 48.5% and 90.5%. It opened at 50.0% and last traded at 85.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 88.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 88.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 88.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 87.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 87.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 85.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 85.5% |
Czechia is favored at 85.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Czechia | 86¢ | 85.5% | -1.5 pts | $1.7K | 3.7% |
| Türkiye | 82¢ | 82.0% | — | $7.0K | 15.8% |
| Serbia | 82¢ | 82.0% | -0.5 pts | $9.5K | 21.4% |
| Wales | 44¢ | 44.5% | — | $6.5K | 14.7% |
| Croatia | 34¢ | 33.5% | — | $2.5K | 5.6% |
| Norway | 16¢ | 15.6% | +3.8 pts | $1.2K | 2.7% |
| Denmark | 14¢ | 13.5% | -0.5 pts | $1.9K | 4.3% |
| Germany | 7¢ | 7.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Italy | 6¢ | 6.5% | — | $6.6K | 14.9% |
| Netherlands | 4¢ | 4.3% | -0.1 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| France | 4¢ | 4.3% | +0.2 pts | $190 | 0.4% |
| Greece | 4¢ | 3.5% | +0.1 pts | $1.5K | 3.3% |
| Belgium | 3¢ | 3.1% | — | $4.3K | 9.7% |
| Spain | 3¢ | 2.6% | -0.4 pts | $163 | 0.4% |
| Portugal | 1¢ | 1.1% | — | $286 | 0.6% |
| England | 1¢ | 0.8% | +0.1 pts | $1.0K | 2.4% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 7¢ (bid 82¢ / ask 89¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$44.3K has been traded on this event in total, $60 of it in the last 24 hours, across 16 markets.
This market is scheduled to end April 13, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is relegated from UEFA Nations League A at the conclusion of the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Official relegation is defined as a team losing its place in UEFA Nations League A for the 2028-29 UEFA Nations League through their final standing in the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League A league phase, via promotion/relegation play-off defeat, or by any other official decision recognized by UEFA. If the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League is cancelled, postponed after April 13, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no teams confirmed for relegation within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official announcements from UEFA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 426 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Near-Mailing | Yes | 426 | $364 |
| Gigantic-Popsicle-Walnut | No | 152 | $22 |
| Snappy-Rooster | No | 149 | $22 |
| Sore-Role | No | 119 | $17 |
| Scarce-Molding | Yes | 40 | $34 |
| Elliptical-Perspective | Yes | 30 | $26 |
| Grim-Garage | No | 20 | $3 |
| 0xcd290efd… | No | 20 | $3 |
| Thorny-Acre-News | No | 20 | $3 |
| Plump-Implementation | No | 17 | $2 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 03:53 PM ET | No | SELL | 17.0% | $10 |
| Oct 23, 05:07 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 83.0% | $74 |
| Oct 23, 04:56 PM ET | No | SELL | 16.0% | $3 |
| Oct 23, 03:56 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 84.0% | $25 |
| Oct 23, 03:55 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 84.6% | $170 |
| Oct 23, 03:53 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 82.4% | $652 |
| Oct 22, 04:13 PM ET | No | BUY | 18.0% | $4 |
| Oct 22, 05:21 AM ET | No | SELL | 16.0% | $5 |
| Oct 22, 12:38 AM ET | No | SELL | 16.0% | $11 |
| Oct 21, 07:10 PM ET | No | SELL | 93.0% | $857 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Czechia at 85.5%. Next is Türkiye at 82.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/uefa-nations-league-a-teams-relegated-2026-27?via=bro
$44.3K in total volume, with $60 traded in the last 24 hours across 16 markets.
The market is scheduled to end April 13, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
Czechia, priced at 85.5% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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