As of October 24, 2026, 09:33 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Dakota Hope vs. Francis Marshall: Francis Marshall at 67.5% in UFC Fight Night: Dakota Hope vs. Francis Marshall (Featherweight, Main Card) — $3 traded so far.
Dakota Hope vs. Francis Marshall: Francis Marshall is favored at 67.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dakota Hope vs. Francis Marshall: Francis Marshall | 68¢ | 67.5% | — | $3 | 100.0% |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Hope to win by KO/TKO? | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Marshall to win by KO/TKO? | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Fight won by submission? | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds: Over | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds: Under | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds: Over | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds: Under | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds: Over | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds: Under | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Fight won by decision? | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ends before Round 2? | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ends before Round 3? | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Hope in Round 1 | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Hope in Round 3 | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Marshall in Round 1 | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Marshall in Round 2 | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Marshall in Round 3 | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Decision or Draw | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Hope in Round 2 | 50¢ | 49.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Dakota Hope vs. Francis Marshall: Dakota Hope | 32¢ | 32.5% | — | $3 | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 31¢ / ask 34¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$3 has been traded on this event in total, $3 of it in the last 24 hours, across 19 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Dakota Hope" if Dakota Hope is officially declared the winner of the fight against Francis Marshall at UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan, scheduled for October 31, 2026. It will resolve to "Francis Marshall" if Francis Marshall is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 14, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 3 shares of Dakota Hope.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Demanding-Grit-Counseling | Dakota Hope | 3 | $1 |
| Watery-Cloak | Francis Marshall | 3 | $2 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 07:29 PM ET | Dakota Hope | BUY | 34.0% | $1 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:32 PM ET, the leading outcome is Dakota Hope vs. Francis Marshall: Francis Marshall at 67.5%. Next is Fight to Go the Distance? at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-dhope-fra8-2026-10-31?via=bro
$3 in total volume, with $3 traded in the last 24 hours across 19 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.ufc.com/events.
Dakota Hope vs. Francis Marshall: Francis Marshall, priced at 67.5% as of October 24, 2026, 09:32 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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