As of October 24, 2026, 09:21 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani vs. Farman Hasanov: Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani at 69.5% in UFC Fight Night: Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani vs. Farman Hasanov (Welterweight, Main Card) — $199 traded so far.
The leading outcome, Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani vs. Farman Hasanov: Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani, is priced at 69.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +3.0 pts; past week: +19.5 pts.
Since October 17, 2026, Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani vs. Farman Hasanov: Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani has traded between 50.0% and 66.5%. It opened at 50.0% and last traded at 66.5%.
Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani vs. Farman Hasanov: Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani is favored at 69.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani vs. Farman Hasanov: Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani | 70¢ | 69.5% | +3.0 pts | $199 | 100.0% |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Lebosnoyani to win by KO/TKO? | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Hasanov to win by KO/TKO? | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Fight won by submission? | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds: Over | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds: Under | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds: Over | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds: Under | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds: Over | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds: Under | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Fight won by decision? | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ends before Round 2? | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ends before Round 3? | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Lebosnoyani in Round 1 | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Lebosnoyani in Round 2 | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Lebosnoyani in Round 3 | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Hasanov in Round 1 | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Hasanov in Round 2 | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Hasanov in Round 3 | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Decision or Draw | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani vs. Farman Hasanov: Farman Hasanov | 30¢ | 30.5% | -3.0 pts | $199 | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 68¢ / ask 71¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$199 has been traded on this event in total, $71 of it in the last 24 hours, across 19 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani" if Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani is officially declared the winner of the fight against Farman Hasanov at UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan, scheduled for October 31, 2026. It will resolve to "Farman Hasanov" if Farman Hasanov is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 14, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 100 shares of Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Well-Worn-Lounge | Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani | 100 | $70 |
| Droopy-Consequence-Sickness | Farman Hasanov | 70 | $21 |
| Optimistic-Lung-Tag | Farman Hasanov | 29 | $9 |
| Self-Assured-Hotdog | Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani | 28 | $19 |
| Blind-Grill | Farman Hasanov | 23 | $7 |
| Charming-Kidney-Imagination | Farman Hasanov | 21 | $6 |
| Yearly-Earnings-Leek | Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani | 13 | $9 |
| Specific-Well | Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani | 8 | $5 |
| Showy-String | Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani | 3 | $2 |
| Silky-Constellation | Farman Hasanov | 3 | $1 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 07:28 PM ET | Farman Hasanov | BUY | 32.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 07:08 PM ET | Farman Hasanov | BUY | 32.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 04:38 PM ET | Farman Hasanov | SELL | 30.2% | $8 |
| Oct 24, 02:22 PM ET | Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani | SELL | 68.0% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 02:21 PM ET | Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani | BUY | 70.0% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 12:40 AM ET | Farman Hasanov | BUY | 34.3% | $8 |
| Oct 23, 05:32 PM ET | Farman Hasanov | BUY | 36.0% | $10 |
| Oct 23, 12:21 PM ET | Farman Hasanov | BUY | 34.0% | $24 |
| Oct 23, 11:23 AM ET | Farman Hasanov | BUY | 34.0% | $10 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET, the leading outcome is Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani vs. Farman Hasanov: Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani at 69.5%. Next is Fight to Go the Distance? at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-jea2-fhasan-2026-10-31?via=bro
$199 in total volume, with $71 traded in the last 24 hours across 19 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.ufc.com/events.
Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani vs. Farman Hasanov: Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani, priced at 69.5% as of October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
Prices move fast. Check the live book, read the resolution rules, and size small while you learn.
Sign Up on PolymarketNew here? Start with the complete beginner guide, then run any stake through the payout calculator before you trade.