As of October 24, 2026, 06:57 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Manel Kape at 100.0% in UFC: Who Will Joshua Van Fight Next? — $12.7K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Manel Kape, is priced at 100.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +3.4 pts; past week: +4.5 pts; past month: +8.5 pts.
Since September 20, 2026, Manel Kape has traded between 71.0% and 100.0%. It opened at 76.5% and last traded at 100.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 93.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 94.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 95.4% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 96.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 96.2% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 96.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 100.0% |
Manel Kape is favored at 100.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manel Kape | 100¢ | 100.0% | +3.4 pts | $10.2K | 80.5% |
| Fighter A | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Fighter B | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Fighter C | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Fighter D | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Fighter E | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Brandon Royval | 0¢ | 0.1% | -0.2 pts | $855 | 6.8% |
| Asu Almabayev | 0¢ | 0.1% | -3.9 pts | $1.6K | 12.8% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 0¢ (bid 100¢ / ask 100¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$12.7K has been traded on this event in total, $7.8K of it in the last 24 hours, across 9 markets.
This market is scheduled to end September 20, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Joshua Van is officially announced to face in a UFC bout. Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that UFC officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place. Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count. If Joshua Van is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by September 20, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 5,573 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Superb-Moody | No | 5,573 | $3 |
| 0x6fa70d26… | Yes | 4,972 | $5.0K |
| Wretched-Postage | Yes | 886 | $885 |
| Silver-Nursery | Yes | 875 | $875 |
| Devoted-Working | Yes | 619 | $619 |
| Frail-Prayer | No | 583 | $0 |
| Straight-Wrinkle | No | 432 | $0 |
| Adolescent-Hubris-Sibling | No | 348 | $0 |
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 258 | $0 |
| Lonely-Bog | No | 241 | $0 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 04:53 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 99.9% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 04:53 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 99.9% | $1.5K |
| Oct 24, 04:51 PM ET | No | BUY | 99.9% | $749 |
| Oct 24, 04:50 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 99.9% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 04:50 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 99.9% | $2.5K |
| Oct 24, 04:46 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 99.6% | $249 |
| Oct 24, 04:46 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 99.7% | $342 |
| Oct 24, 04:46 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 99.8% | $29 |
| Oct 24, 04:46 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 99.8% | $116 |
| Oct 24, 04:45 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 99.9% | $618 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:53 PM ET, the leading outcome is Manel Kape at 100.0%. Next is Fighter A at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-joshua-van-next-fight?via=bro
$12.7K in total volume, with $7.8K traded in the last 24 hours across 9 markets.
The market is scheduled to end September 20, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
Manel Kape, priced at 100.0% as of October 24, 2026, 06:53 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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