As of October 24, 2026, 09:29 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Julian Erosa vs. JeongYeong Lee: JeongYeong Lee at 61.5% in UFC Fight Night: Julian Erosa vs. JeongYeong Lee (Featherweight, Prelims) — $21 traded so far.
The leading outcome, Julian Erosa vs. JeongYeong Lee: JeongYeong Lee, is priced at 61.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +4.0 pts; past week: -11.5 pts.
Since October 17, 2026, Julian Erosa vs. JeongYeong Lee: JeongYeong Lee has traded between 50.0% and 65.5%. It opened at 50.0% and last traded at 61.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 50.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 52.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 52.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 52.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 52.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 65.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 61.5% |
Julian Erosa vs. JeongYeong Lee: JeongYeong Lee is favored at 61.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Erosa vs. JeongYeong Lee: JeongYeong Lee | 62¢ | 61.5% | -4.0 pts | $21 | 100.0% |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Erosa to win by KO/TKO? | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Lee to win by KO/TKO? | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Fight won by submission? | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds: Over | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds: Under | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds: Over | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds: Under | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds: Over | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds: Under | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Fight won by decision? | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ends before Round 2? | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ends before Round 3? | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Erosa in Round 1 | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Erosa in Round 2 | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Erosa in Round 3 | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Lee in Round 1 | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Lee in Round 2 | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Lee in Round 3 | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Decision or Draw | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Julian Erosa vs. JeongYeong Lee: Julian Erosa | 38¢ | 38.5% | +4.0 pts | $21 | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 37¢ / ask 40¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$21 has been traded on this event in total, $21 of it in the last 24 hours, across 19 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Julian Erosa" if Julian Erosa is officially declared the winner of the fight against JeongYeong Lee at UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan, scheduled for October 31, 2026. It will resolve to "JeongYeong Lee" if JeongYeong Lee is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 14, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 16 shares of Julian Erosa.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Magnificent-Occupation-Fiery | Julian Erosa | 16 | $6 |
| Optimistic-Lung-Tag | JeongYeong Lee | 16 | $10 |
| Yearly-Earnings-Leek | JeongYeong Lee | 5 | $3 |
| Silky-Constellation | Julian Erosa | 2 | $1 |
| Demanding-Grit-Counseling | Julian Erosa | 2 | $1 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 07:29 PM ET | Julian Erosa | BUY | 40.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 06:57 PM ET | Julian Erosa | BUY | 40.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 04:14 PM ET | JeongYeong Lee | BUY | 63.0% | $10 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:25 PM ET, the leading outcome is Julian Erosa vs. JeongYeong Lee: JeongYeong Lee at 61.5%. Next is Fight to Go the Distance? at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-jul-jeo-2026-10-31?via=bro
$21 in total volume, with $21 traded in the last 24 hours across 19 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.ufc.com/events.
Julian Erosa vs. JeongYeong Lee: JeongYeong Lee, priced at 61.5% as of October 24, 2026, 09:25 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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